3 Bets, 3 Losses. -16.50. Another week, another poor set of results and possibly the worst ongoing run for a couple of years. Hopefully it will end next week.
Sell Rory McIlroy over Wen Tang Lin 18H R1 MB at 2 with IG Sport for 0.25 Pts M/U 19, Loss 4.25 Pts
This bet is being priced on future potential rather than known facts and figures. McIlroy has 2 top 5's in 2007, 4th in Madrid following a 3rd in the Dunhill Links. His 6 other starts this year produced no top 40 finishes, and we now having him make his first appearance on the Asian Tour where he faces an opponent with 5 Top 10's in his last 7 starts in this area. Players tend to struggle when going to a different continent for the first time as they are not used to the climate, the greens, the food, etc etc. McIlroy should be no different and it will take a good performance to win this match up against a seasoned pro from the region. The fact we are getting a two point start on the local player is worthy of playing.
Sell Fredrik Andersson Hed over Sang Moon Bae 18H R1 MB at 2 with IG Sport for 0.25 Pts M/U 31, Loss 7.25 Pts
Possibly a glutton for punishment here but going to support Sang Moon again with a 2pt start over a player who has yet to beat 20th place in 16 starts on this tour. Sang Moon lost by 2 last week to Vancsik, then had a disastrous R2 shooting 82. Last week's R2 score has to be a concern but with good form earlier in the year and against a player who has never performed well in this region means that a 2pt start is value when arguably there should have been nothing between them in pricing.
Sell Daniel Vancsik over Jean Van De Velde 18H R1 MB at 2 with Sporting Index BetHiLo for 0.25 Pts M/U 22, Loss 5 Pts
We opposed Vancsik last week based on a poor Asian record and we were let down by his opponent rather than a better performance for Vancsik. He had a record in the region of no better than 19th in 9 starts, and a 27th place last week didnt trouble that stat. He faces Van De Velde who in his last 3 tour starts has not fared worse than 10th, with a top 4 in Singapore in March and a 6th here last year amongst solid form that eclipses anything Vancsik can offer on past tour form. |
