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4pts FRASER V Dyson 9/10 Expekt 3pts JAIDEE V Cabrera-Bello Evs Betvictor
1/1 +0.6
From Jumbo:
*Forgive the brief detail on here this week. Having spent time writing the article, I returned after a break to find it all deleted!*
Charl Schwartzel to beat Luke Donald - 5 points @ 11-10 (BetVictor) Matteo Manassero to beat Padraig Harrington - 9 points @ 4-5 (BetWin)
The South African may not have repeated the form of his easy wins in Thailand and at home at the end of the year but could easily have won any of his last three events. Just looking short of his best, recent finishes of 3/9/16 on the PGA Tour suggest he must take advantage of the drop in class. Top that with course form of 11th on debut (finished well) and 6th a year later (got lost mid-event after starting with 64) and Charl looks primed for a strong challenge at The Masters, an event he won in 2011 of course. Recent iron play has been excellent and everything points to a very high finish and certainly a place in front of his matchbet rival. Luke Donald has been slow to get going this year and despite his assurances that he feels close to his best, only last week's fourth place finish gives hope here this week. To these eyes that lofty position in the Tampa was more courtesy of the poor final round play from the likes of Furyk, Leonard and Coetzee and Donald's iron play and putting last week hardly screamed 'he's back'. He hasn't played round this course before, comes over late from The States and it is difficult to see him being able to muster his best form, certainly against a player with so much going for him.
Talking of players that suit the course, pitting Matteo Manessaro against Pod looks unfair to the latter but exploit it we must. The young Italian's game is well known - he wants a shortish track where accuracy tee-to-green counts for plenty and where consistent putting is key and Kuala Lumper is clearly all that. Winner of his second European event here in 2011, he followed that up with a cracking defence a year later, finishing 68/69 to finish 7th. Recent events around the world were never going to suit Matteo's game but nevertheless, top-25s throughout the Desert Swing and top-30's in recent PGA events are excellent warm-ups for a return to a venue that clearly suits. Interestingly, he hasn't tried to force his game around the long courses, keeping with his accuracy off the tee and putting with respectability. Expect a top-10 at least here and certainly a place above a strong Harrington. As honest as he is, Pod is in trouble. Following a poor 2012, he proclaimed that his hard work over the winter would result in improved play and after decent finishes at the turn of the year his confidence looked justified. However, recent results have seen him slump again with a best finish of 34th in his last five events including two missed cuts. It is no wonder that Pod's scrambling and putting is showing signs of quality as he has plenty of practise, not seeming to know in which direction his approach shots are going to go. Having only played here once, in 2006, he is going to struggle to get a handle on the intricacies of the course, may well find himself playing recovery shots once more than is comfortable but there is worse news. Having broken his Driver last week, Pod arrives with one that he has little confidence in, indeed he says, 'it's thrown a bit of a curveball in my preparations and I'd dearly love to drive it well this week so that I have that confidence. I don't want to go home next week still looking for a driver and then possibly play in another tournament where I'm in doubt. The last thing I want is to be going to the Masters with any doubt.' Someone, somewhere, let me know why on Earth Harrington will finish in front of Matteo...anyone, anyone........
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