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Betfair Picks - Asian PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair

 
 
Indian Open

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13-0; +4.13pts

Pre-tournament plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Jeev Milkha Singh 160  23rd
Shubhankar Sharma 150  37th
Mithun Perera 180  51th
Daniel Im 210  6th
Adilson Da Silva 230  4th
Jason Scrivener 55  mc
Siddikur Rahman 46  58th
Opposing Singh who finished in the top-10 last week in Thailand, but it was his first top-10 finish for three years and his first cut made in 2016; Sharma has a good record on this course, but he has played in one previous European Tour-sanctioned event and this is a step-up too far for him to be competitive this week; Perera is another with a good record on this course, but has struggled with his form in 2016 - four missed cuts in five Asian PGA Tour events - and has missed the cut in 9 of 13 European Tour-sanctioned events in the last three years; Im is another with poor record form - 40th-mc-40th in his last three stars; that is also the case with Da Silva who has four missed cuts this year already; Scrivener has better form, but not enough to justify these odds - he is winless on the European Tour and shot all four rounds over-par in his previous apperance on this course (2015); while Rahman has an extremely impressive record on this course, but figures of mc-55th-mc-38th-35th-50th-mc-mc suggest that the BAngladeshi golfer will struggle to replicate his previous form on this course.

 

Pre-rd3 plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Anirban Lahiri 13.5  2nd
Jeung-Hun Wang 230  2nd
Peter Uihlein 65  31st
This is a very short price for Lahiri who is eight shots off the pace - he may have a very good course history, but he is without a top-25 finish in six starts in 2016 so doesn't have the form to warrant such odds; Wang is even further back in 30th place and ten shots off the pace and given that he, like Lahiri, ranks outside the top-50 in greens in regulation so far this week, he also looks very unlikely to close the gap on Pilkadaris; while Uihlein is nine shots off the pace and ranks even worse than both Lahiri and Wang for greens in regulation this week, so is also priced too short,

 

Pre-rd4 plays:

Shiv Kapur 140  10th
Maximilan Kieffer 120  15th
Rahil Gangjee 46  10th
Kapur and Kieffer are both in 14th place and seven shots off the pace and so should be at higher odds than this - Kapur is without a top-10 finish in any event since 2014, while Kieffer has secured just one top-5 finish in the last 20 months. Gangjee is much closer in 5th place, but he is still five shots back and for a player who hasn't won a Tour event since 2004, it will be difficult to convert even if he does get close.