Betfair Picks - Australasian Tour |
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11-0; +2.45pts Pre-tournament plays: LAY 20pts liability Ryan Fox 75 52nd Victor Dubuisson 18 mc Todd Sinnott 160 49th Richard Green 65 mc Stephen Dartnall 230 57th Fox has played in just one event in 2016 (Joburg Open) and missed the cut by five shots; Dubuisson has also only made one start this year (Abu Dhabi Golf Championship) and missed the cut by four shots as he learns to compete with his new equipment; Sinott has at least made the cut in both starts of 2016, but they were low-ranking events even for the Australasian Tour and he has yet to secure a top-5 finish on that Tour; Green does have better credentials having won on the European Tour, but the last time was in 2010 and he missed the cut in the lowly Victorian Open in his only previous start of 2016; while Dartnall did manage 4th in this event in 2014, but that was a one-off - he next-best finish in a European Tour event is 39th. Pre-rd3 plays: LAY 20pts liability Benjamin Hebert 200 9th Marcus Fraser 500 15th David Lipsky 180 9th With Oosthuizen, Rumford and Uihlein in the top-3 positions, the odds on the rest of the field are justifiably much higher. With these three well off the pace - Hebert is 7 shots off the pace, Fraser 9 and Lipsky 6 - I don't see that these have any realistic chance of winning. Pre-rd4 plays: LAY 20pts liability David Drysdale 250 15th Mikko Korhonen 180 9th Gregory Bourdy 530 4th Two late birdies by Oosthuizen reduced his lead to three shots at the end of round 3, but he is still playing the best golf (1st in greens in regulation) and the highest-ranked player in the field, so I think that anyone more than five shots behind does not have a shot at this title. Drysdale is seven shots, Korhonen six shots and Bourdy eights shots behind Oosthuizen. Between them, they have just one top-20 finish in 16 events in 2016, so none have shown the form to suggest that they may even put Oosthuizen under pressure from such a long way back.
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