Kenya Open

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Michiel Bothma - 0.5 points each-way @ 50-1 (Bet365)

The defending Champ is a few points bigger than he should be. He does mix good finishes with missed-cuts (as on his last two starts) but he doesn't shoot horrendous rounds. He also holds some strong form, such as 3rd in the Joburg Open, but course form is strong - 10th the year before his victory here. Key is his putting here and he enjoys playing in Africa.

Oliver Bekker - 0.75 points each-way @ 40-1 (Skybet)

Has some very decent recent form, winning the Dimension Data from the likes of Aiken, Otto and Grace, form that is superior to this field. Couldn't go on from a 69 opener here last year but is a different player now and, at 27, is the right age to be coming forwards. Wedge play and putting is bang there and he should really be contending this weekend.