Najeti Open

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David Law - 1 point each-way @ 80-1 (BV Skybet)

Since 2010, only one winner has finished in double-figures and last year's win by Sebastian Gros looks very much the exception rather than the rule. A few players have commented over the years that scoring one-under each day will grab a top-5 finish and that would again ibe the aim. The weather looks fair with showers but it is the wind that causes most problems, and many players suggest that the plan is patience and middle of the greens rather than flag-hunting as bad breaks happen frequently round this tricky track. At only a fraction over 6500-yards, yet again a continental course that proves you don't have to have length to set up a difficult challenge.

Just one bet at the prices this week.

Hardly rushing in his progression, David Law is one of the less-heralded players at this level but it means that we can still get a 'working man's price' about this steadily improving Scot.

Law has a host of minor wins to his name, and as befits a member of the Paul Lawrie Foundation (mentor and inspiration) many of them on the small Tartan Tour and most in grinding conditions. Winning twice on the EPD/ProGolf tour, the latest in 2013, he flitted between the levels and his best finish of 2014, his first full season at Challenge Tour level, was significantly a top-10 finish here (5th after two rounds).

2015 saw a season of poor results yet he proved his mettle when needing huge results late on to keep his card, three successive top-10 finishes boosting his ranking from around 150 to 70th and, after a couple of warm-ups this year, gagged up on the MENA tour in April on what was said to be a tough Sotagrande track. Clearly that level is below the one required this week but gave further boosts to the feeling that the harder the course, the better he will do. Indeed, career wins at Morocco and Turkey give further evidence if it was needed whilst best results of this season - top 10s at Madrid and Lucerne - come in the highest scoring events of the year thus far (-8 and -12).

I am happy to ignore last years finish but, looking closely, his third-round disaster seems to be an anomaly amongst his efforts here and once again he showed his bottle on Payday shooting what was an excellent 70 given the average of the field.

Earlier on in the year, Law was hunted by a few for the Egyptian Challenge due to his huge course and regional form, but although he looked short at 40-1 he was well-backed and it is surprising that on a such a suitable course, this top-50 player is available at twice that price.

A final note. I will be taking three weeks off after the Nejati (and U.S Open) to take a look at possible changes to the way I look at these events. The last few weeks have been painful and the rest is much needed! Good Luck. See you for the Fred Olsen.