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Italian Open
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Trevor Immelman to win 25/1 e.w. @ Eurobet
Large price for one of the most in-form players on Tour at the moment (available
at less than half these odds in some places). Has nine top-30 finishes in his
last ten starts, including five top-10s. Can only be a matter of time before he
curbs his attacking instincts and wins on Tour. He is yet to win outside Africa,
but he will surely repeat his top-10 finish of last year.
Ricardo Gonzalez to win 33/1 e.w. @ Tote
Gonzalez also has a good record in this event, albeit at a different course. He
has finished in the top-12 in the last two years and has been playing
particularly well since securing a top-10 finish in the PGA Championship. Looked
set to challenge for the Lancome Trophy until a 3rd round 77 and like Immelman,
if he either curb his attacking instincts or just be lucky with them, he should
have a good week.
Anders Hansen to win 40/1 e.w. @ Sporting Odds,
Sportingbet,
Blue Square and BetaBet
With Olgiata being a tree-lined course, I suppose one of the selections should
be accurate off the tee, and Anders Hansen certainly fits the bill. He won the
Volvo PGA Championship around a similar course and produced a solid top-15
performance around Club de Campo last week to easily win his matchup. Looks to
be returning to his early season form.
Matchup plays (1.5 units):
Angel Cabrera to beat Trevor Immelman +100 @ Victor
Chandler
Angel Cabrera to beat Gary Orr -133 @ Gamebookers
Angel Cabrera to beat Justin Rose -111 @ BetandWin
Padraig Harrington to beat Justin Rose -182 @ Centrebet
David Howell to beat Miles Tunnicliff -110 @ Sporting Odds
and
Sportingbet
Final update:
Matchups: 4-1-0; +4.35 units
Cabrera/Immelman WON by 4
Cabrera/Orr WON by 4
Cabrera/Rose WON by 11 (at the cut)
Harrington/Rose WON by 5 (at the cut)
Howell/Tunnicliff LOST by 6
Outrights: 1-2; +3.75 units
Immelman 23rd
Gonzalez 68th
Hansen 3rd
Always relieved to finish in profit with a weather-affected/shortened event! The matchup wins were decisive once Cabrera had shot 61 in the 2nd round and Hansen's 3rd place finish was as high as he could finish after he had dropped five shots in three holes in the middle of his 2nd round. As good a week as it could have been.
