Deutsche Bank - SAP Open (1pt):

Justin Rose to win 22/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, UKBetting and Totalbet
Unlike most European Tour players who concentrate on the PGA Tour rather than follow the Tour and its weaker events, Rose has been a success. He steadily improved with cuts made in all four starts before the Masters, but thereafter his form has been very impressive. He was the leader after 36 holes at Augusta and showed great character in his comeback 4th round and since then he has finished in the top-10 in two of three starts. This may be his first start in Europe of the season, but it is in an event in which he has finished in the top-5 in the last two seasons. Plenty of reasons to support Rose this week.

Angel Cabrera to win 28/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
With finishes of 4th and 2nd in his last two starts, there is also good reason to back Cabrera. He was also impressive on the PGA Tour with top-20 finishes in his last two events before the Masters and he has finished in the top-20 on each of the last two occasions that this course has been used. With a good number of the leading players opposable of the basis of having played on a different continent last week - Els, Harrington, Price, Cejka and Jimenez - this looks an open contest and 28/1 is a price that will not last for long.

Eduardo Romero to finish in the top-five 10/1 @ Five Dimes, SkyBet and Paddy Power
Discounting co-sanctioned events which are played on a different continent, Romero's ratio of top-5 finishes to starts makes these odds look very generous. In 2002, he finished in the top-5 in four of twelve starts, in 2003 it was two out of six and this year it is one out of two - he was 2nd in the British Masters two weeks ago. It is not that his course form is poor as he has finished in the top-25 on each of the last two occasions that this course has been used. So I'll gladly take these odds on the European Tour's equivalent of Jay Haas.

Final update: 0-3; -3.00pts

Rose mc
Cabrera mc
Romero 39th

Promised to be a lot better once Romero completed the first two rounds in 69 to lie 8th after 36 holes. He was 13 shots worse over the weekend.