Outright Picks - European Tour
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Dunhill Links Championship
FINAL RESULT: 2-2; +41.00pts
Els 7th
Harrington mc
Howell 5th
Gallacher 1st
Very nice! Three selections in the top-7 and Gallacher playing a
brilliant shot on the first playoff hole to secure his first Tour title.
More than made up for David Howell missing an 18-inch putt on the
penultimate hole which meant a two-way share of 5th place.
Further outright play (1pt):
Stephen Gallacher to win 66/1 e.w. @
Ladbrokes,
William Hill,
Paddy Power
and
BetDirect
He has hit a very impressive 86% of greens in regulation
over the last two days and has a good record when on the fringes of
contention heading into the weekend. In each of the last three occasions
when he has been between 8th and 13th place on the
leaderboard heading into the weekend, he has improved his position every
time over the next two rounds. An impressive achievement as it is much
easier to head down a leaderboard when you are near the top. Add that to
the fact he does have the added advantage of playing the easiest course
in still conditions tomorrow, whereas the leading pack are all playing
Carnoustie, and his odds should drop considerably by tomorrow evening.
Outright plays (1pt):
Ernie Els to win 6/1 @
Ladbrokes
Had expected to win at least one major this year as three of them were
being played on links courses and although he contended in all of them,
he never quite managed the win. I expect he will finally win a links
event in 2004 this week. His record in Scotland is phenomenal: he has
finished in the top-3 in eight of his last ten starts in this country,
including three wins. He has shown a couple of years ago that he is
capable of winning back-to-back events and this one would be easier than
normal because of the relaxed atmosphere of the pro-am, particularly as
he is teaming up with his dad again. The odds may be short, but there
are plenty of reason to expect Els to be on the leaderboard on Sunday
afternoon.
Padraig Harrington to win 20/1 e.w. @
Stan James
and
Victor
Chandler
Harrington lost ground on Els on Sunday, but 6th place in a WGC event
played in front of an expectant home crowd was certainly a good
performance. It carried on the good form that he has shown since winning
the German Masters last month and he is another player who should play
well around the links courses. He finished 5th in 2001 and won this
event in 2002 so he is another who should be challenging for honours in
the final round.
David Howell to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
Howell does not strike me as a natural links player, but a record of
finishing 3rd in this event in 2001 and 6th in 2003 is certainly
impressive. Add in a 3rd place finish at Loch Lomond this summer and his
form in Scotland warrants attention. But it has been his form before,
during and after the Ryder Cup that earns him the final outright
selection berth ahead of Nick O'Hern. If he can continue his form from
last week where he finished in the top-3, then he looks set for another
very high finish in this event.
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