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Betfair Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Shaker

European Masters @ Betfair

Due to, amongst other reasons, the different layouts/workings of the various Betfair pages not being ideal, the new approach is to show another way how to use Betfair. All the Betfair pages will now use the same approach, that is to back players pre-tournament and then to put lays up on Betfair as soon as possible once the event starts. This is to hopefully recoup some points on supported players who are doing well for at least some part of the tournament. It is about the closest one can get to each-way betting using the outright market on Betfair alone, although there would be endless staking plans for this system.
Please note, any bets placed on the market before the event starts are cancelled when they introduce the in-running market. Therefore,
these lays have to be put up as soon as possible after the market is placed in-running. The lays will be at set prices, based on the original back price, and are left up for the duration of the tournament.


Summary:
Fowler almost got down to the first lay price but once he started badly on Saturday, that was that. Loss 4 pts.

Selection 1 Back:

Michael Campbell 3 pts @ 27
(advised Monday)
Only one bookie goes as high as 25/1 so I'm happy to get a point over that. Cambo has a super record here with a progressive look to it: 15th in '99, 10th in both '00 & '02, and then an admittedly distant runner-up to Els last year. Although his end result doesn't really prove anything, he just caught my eye during the recent USPGA, showing up more prominently for a good while than he usually does these days in America, and I am thinking that this effort, coming after a missed cut that followed three good performances including finishing runner-up at Loch Lomond and when getting lots of coverage during the first half of The Open, could well be an indication that he'll finish the season strongly back on familiar ground. At least he has no Ryder Cup issues on his mind!
Selection 1 Lays:
3 pts @ 7.4
(to lose 19.2 pts)
6 pts @ 3.6 (15.6 pts) Profit if successful = 43.2 pts

Adding:
Selection 2 Back:

Peter Fowler 1 pt @ 130
Fowler has managed to turn around an absolutely disastrous season and I'm thinking that his current run of form could continue here. After top-8s in his 2nd and 3rd tournaments of the year, his game completely left him and he made just 3 cuts from his next 13 tournaments, with just one finish better than 60th. Suddenly, though, he finished 8th about six weeks ago in Ireland and he hasn't looked back; 24th place in Sweden was OK and then last week it looked, after a Saturday 64, as if the elusive second tour win (first win was 11 years ago!) was a possibility. However, not for the first time he fell away on the final day, from tied-5th to tied-20th and there are obvious worries about his ability to win, but encouraging is the fact that a few similar types have done this season. There is little doubt he is now in top form, and with a tied-8th in 2001 here to add to the equation I think he could reward support.
Selection 2 Lays:
1 pt @ 22
(to lose 21 pts)
2 pts @ 14
(26 pts)
4 pts @ 5.3
(17.2 pts)
8 pts @ 2.72
(13.76 pts) Profit if successful = 51.04 pts