German Masters @ Betfair

Please note, any bets placed before the event starts are cancelled when Betfair introduce the in-running market. Therefore, these lays have to be put up as soon as possible after the market is placed in-running.

Summary:
Utter rubbish. Had some success in Europe earlier this year but for a while now it's seemed impossible. Like I was last season, I'm feeling like I don't know where to start with it each week, and maybe it would be better to not to even try. Enjoy researching, and watching, the US Tour much more and maybe I should concentrate the vast majority of my efforts there. Loss 5 pts.

Selection 1 Back:
K.J.Choi 3 pts @ 16/1 with Victor Chandler, BlueSq or Sportingbet / Sporting Odds
Have been waiting all week for his price on Betfair to extend to a little better than what the bookies have all been offering, as you'd expect normally, but it hasn't happened and for the last day or so he has actually been trading at up to a point shorter on there. It's not going to get longer now and at the time of writing 15/1 isn't even available. Therefore, I'll have to play at the bookies odds and stick just the one lay in on Betfair for a small amount.
As for his chances, well they're almost too obvious for me, rarely do I add things up in the 'usual' way but this week the defending champion who equalled the winner's score over the last three rounds last week looks very strong. He invariably beats most of the field when he plays in European events - 1st, 4th & 8th since coming over for this event 12 months ago - and his record of 3rd, 31st, 16th & 6th in the 4 Majors this season puts him firmly in the world class category. Bundle it all up and the package is extremely hard to resist.
Selection 1 Lay:
3 pts @ 5 (to lose 12 pts) Profit if successful = 36 pts

Selection 2 Back:
Peter Fowler 1 pt @ 160
Selected him last week (here) and I'm not sure that a tied-16th finish should result in him being 30 pts longer. True, his inability to contend with the leaders when under pressure looked to surface again, but many players this year have managed to find a way of finishing the job after getting themselves in those situations often enough, and you'd have to say a prominent week is a real possibility again. His current form run now stands at 8-24-20-16 and therefore, although I wouldn't be taking under 100/1, these odds do seem far too high.
Selection 2 Lays:
1 pt @ 27 (to lose 26 pts)
2 pts @ 17 (32 pts)
4 pts @ 6.4 (21.6 pts)
8 pts @ 3.1 (16.8 pts) Profit if successful = 62.6 pts

Selection 3 Back:
Gregory Havret 1 pt @ 250
Another I've backed recently (here) and although he did absolutely nothing for me I'll chance it again. In Germany and on an easy course again he could easily pop up and, like Fowler, I think the odds are rather dismissive of his ability and chances of getting involved. In that BMW a fortnight ago, my excuse for his poor show is that the first day was actually quite tough, and he unsurprisingly struggled to produce his best. It should be birdie, birdie all the way this week and that's what suits him best.
Selection 3 Lays:
1 pt @ 42 (to lose 41 pts)
2 pts @ 26 (50 pts)
4 pts @ 9.4 (33.6 pts)
8 pts @ 4.3 (26.4 pts) Profit if successful = 98 pts