The Heritage

FINAL RESULT: 3-3-0; +0.66pts

Dredge/Stenson LOST by 12
Goosen/Harrington WON by 4
O'Hern/Poulter WON by 9
Stenson/Sjoland WON by 1
O'Hern/Lane LOST by 1
Hansen/Lara LOST by 1

Nice profit on the 72-hole matchups compromised by the 18-hole experiment. All three 18-hole plays decided by a single shot, but could easily have been very different.

4th round plays (1pt):  * from Stanley *

Nick O'Hern to beat Barry Lane -125 available generally
The outright selection has fallen a long way from his 1st round leadership. but still backing him to bounce back in this round as his all-round game has been solid and he has been playing so well for so long. Lane has not been playing well and there is little in his stats this week that suggests that he will mount a charge on Sunday.

Soren Hansen to beat Jose Manuel Lara +100 @ Stan James
With both players ten shots behind leader, these players are playing for pride. Might have been worth leaving this match along in those circumstances, but Hansen has an important stat in his favour. He has yet to be beaten by Lara in any 4th round score this season. So evens does look value in this case.

3rd round play (1pt):  * from Stanley *

Henrik Stenson to beat Patrik Sjoland +100 available generally
While Stenson has been very impressive from tee-to-green, Sjoland has not and has needed to rely on a hot putter to keep him on the leaderboard. And while Stenson finshed 2nd in the Scandinavian Masters from such a midway position last month, Sjoland has not been in such contention since the British Masters in May and then he shot 73 in the 3rd round.

72-hole plays (1pt unless stated):

Bradley Dredge to beat Henrik Stenson -125 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Would have sided with the Swede in July when he was in a hot streak, but that has now ended. Dredge finished ahead of Stenson in the last two events before the Ryder Cup by margins of nine shots and ten shots respectively. I'll gladly take that margin of victory again!

Retief Goosen to beat Padraig Harrington -120 @ Bet365 and William Hill
Adrenalin will be a major factor this week, but it should not be enough to stop Padraig Harrington finishing behind Retief Goosen. Pod played all five matches last week, twice against Tiger Woods, and he will surely be one of the most tired players on the team. But even if not, he would struggle to beat Goosen who worst finish in any since the Deutsche Bank – SAP Open in May has been 11^th. He has finished ahead of Harrington in each of their last five common events and will be much better prepared for concentrating on this event.
(available generally)

Nick O'Hern to beat Ian Poulter +108 @ Five Dimes [2pts]
What an overreaction by Five Dimes! Poulter was certainly a surprise winner in the singles match against Chris Riley last week, but the Ryder Cup was virtually over by the time their match got going and the player who, according to Sutton, would have hyperventilated if he had been made to wait any longer than the first morning to start playing, was sure to suffer a huge let-down after the performance of the team and the ending of the match early during his own round. Poulter was not playing particularly well and then add in the fact that O'Hern has finished ahead of Poulter in 10 of their last 12 common events and it should be the outright selection would is the strong favourite in this match.