The Heritage

Tournament Trades (Andy)

Finishing Positions (0.5pt stakes)

Summary: (13.25 pts Profit)
A good Sunday where Harrington and Goosen made no gain on their position going into the final day and McDowell through an average round went backwards on the day. A profitable week and hopefully enough success from those still standing in the 84 Lumber will cancel out Ryder Cup losses.
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This week, I am against 4 players at the top end of the betting. This weekend past the spread firms took a really hard hit on their pockets and knowing that a good number of their clientele will wish to play up those winnings on some of the players who provided them, the firms will try to get that cash back. To do so, they have offered FP quotes on some of the players at just a little less than they should be. It would be very easy to suggest that the players will be tired and hung-over but I am sure that is the reason you will be given by the players if they do struggle. Our first bet though is on a player who, like you and me, would have watched from afar.

Buy Retief Goosen at 17 with Spreadex M/U 15.5, Loss 0.75 pts
17 is really as low as Spreadex would go and still attract sells, and it is a little low for a player who has not played too much recently due to an injury and has the memory of a MC from his last visit to this course. Goosen has placed in the Top 12 in his last 8 events so this bet may seem a risk but its all about prices in FP betting and Goosen is 2-3 pts short.

Buy Padraig Harrington at 20 with Spreadex M/U 37.5, Profit 8.75 pts
It's price, pure and simple. IG Index went 24-27 over-night although before Spreadex opening had cut to 21-24. This difference of opinion may result in 20 either being unavailable or cut to a £5 maximum stake. Either way ensure your net price is no higher than 22.

Buy Graeme McDowell at 27 with Spreadex M/U 14, Loss 6.50 pts
Already tipped up as a certain Ryder Cup starter in 06' in Ireland, McDowell will want to eradicate the memories of his last appearance where a big lead on the Sunday in Germany was wiped out with a R4 77. He may suffer a backlash to that but even if he doesn't 27 is a couple of points low in a field that has a stronger than normal field for this time of year.

Buy Ian Poulter at 26.5 with Spreadex (Spread Free) M/U 50, Profit 11.75 pts
With an incentive of a spread free price, Poulter goes from an ok price at 28 to good value at 26.5. A caveat though that you must not just take any price elsewhere to ensure you get 4 bets on. With IG aggressively pricing up so much differently from the other firms it is possible that the prices advised here will not be available for long. I have inserted maximum prices to trade at in brackets. Ok, Poulter. Of those players who have decided to play this week he looks the one most likely to have celebrated just that little bit too much and in my opinion is the player most likely to suffer a mental letdown that this event may bring. He is bullish about qualifying for the Ryder Cup every year now but the European system means that for Ryder Cup purposes success this week has no bearing. On form alone, Poulter isn't standing out, a MC in Germany with a 76/79 which quantifies my statement about mental letdown as by then he had qualified and the event virtually meant nothing bar a chance to increase his bank balance This followed average weeks where a 4th in Sweden was the best effort.