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Outright Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Telecom Italia Open (1pt):

Angel Cabrera to win 25/1 e.w. @ Stan James, Victor Chandler and BlueSq
No concerns of rustiness or a failure to adapt from the PGA Tour with Cabrera. In the last two years, he has played on the PGA Tour before coming over to play in Europe and in those first European events he has finished 1st and 7th. He also opened his 2001 European campaign after four month layoff and finished 9th. So for a player who gained top-20 finishes in two of his last three PGA Tour starts and won in his home country in February, these look good odds. He is the best Argentinean player and will be keen to prove the point this week.

Marcus Fraser to finish in the top-five 15/1 @ Five Dimes
Fraser won three times on the European Challenge Tour last year, including the Russian Open which was co-sanctioned with the main Tour, so his credentials are certainly impressive. He started the season with a top-5 finish and was in the top-10 last week so these odds do look rather large, particularly as the course has not been used since 1997 so very few of the field will have course experience. As last week, his rookie status will not be penalty.

Final update: 1-1; +1.63pts

Cabrera 4th
Fraser 28th

Chaotic event with a Monday finish to a 54-hole event, but looked to be a great break after Cabrera was leading after two rounds. Still looked like he could win it until he took a six on the 12th hole in the final round and gave up a two-shot swing to McDowell. He finished two shots out of the lead.