Volvo Masters

FINAL RESULT: 4-3-0; +1.77pts

Campbell/Gonzalez LOST by 10
Donald/Westwood LOST by 4
Green/Dredge WON by 6
Green/Stenson WON by 18
Price/Stenson WON by 15
O'Hern/Jacquelin WON by 7
Lane/Lara TIED (Loss)

Just as well Cambo was already trailing Gonzalez, else I would not have found his 5-10-6 finish that funny ... and it is laughable! Pity that he didn't give one of those shots to Lara. The loss on the tied match with Lane meant that it turned from a profitable event into a loss-making one. Never happy to end a Tour season on that note.

72-hole plays (1pt unless stated):

Michael Campbell to beat Ricardo Gonzalez -110 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Cambo might not be in the best of form at the moment, but he is returning to a course on which he has finished in the top-10 on his last two visits and he has finished outside the top-10 only once in the last five years of this event. He also should finish ahead of Gonzalez given that he has a 9-3-0 h2h lead over him in 2004.

Luke Donald to beat Lee Westwood -103 @ Pinnacle
Both players in good form, but I'd make Donald the slight favourite in this match and so will take these odds. He has finished ahead of Westwood in both their common events this month and Westwood has played particularly poorly over Valderrama in the last two seasons.
(available generally)

Richard Green to beat Bradley Dredge -114 @ Expekt
With three top-10 finishes in his last six starts and top-15 finishes in both of his visits to Valderrama, Green may be surprise contender this week. Even if not, he should still beat Dredge given that he has done so in 12 of their last 15 common events.
(also available at Paddy Power)

Richard Green to beat Henrik Stenson -110 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds [2pts]
A lack of course experience and three missed cuts in his last five starts count against Stenson this week. He is too erratic to consistently beat Green and this is shown by his 6-13-0 h2h record against the Australian this year.
(also available at Nordicbet)

Phillip Price to beat Henrik Stenson -115 @ Pinnacle
With finishes of 5th and 18th in his last two starts, Price has clearly overcome his late summer slump. Throw in four solid performances on this course and a 9-1-0 h2h record against Stenson and Price looks a solid favourite in this match.

Nick O'Hern to beat Raphael Jacquelin -125 @ BlueSq
O'Hern may have difficulty in closing out winning positions, but he should still beat the much more erratic Jacquelin. O'Hern's consistency has been the key to the fact that he has finished behind Jacquelin only four times from twenty common events in 2004.
(also available at Pinnacle)

Barry Lane to beat Jose Manuel Lara -110 @ Stan James
Neither of these players could be called consistent, but Lane gets the edge because of his extensive course experience whereas Lara has none and because he has finished ahead of the Spaniard in each of their last three common events.