Dunhill Links Championship

FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -0.42pts

Stenson 3rd
McGinley 41st
Davis 28th

Stenson had a good chance to win this event or at least earn a playoff, but bogeys on the 16th and 17th on Sunday ended his challenge. He finished two shots behind Monty. Had looked as though Davis would be the main contender, but a 77 around the usually-easy Kingsbarn ended his challenge a day earlier.

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Henrik Stenson to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill and Victor Chandler
In contrast to the Chrysler Classic, where players who played in the President's Cup are avoided, this is not the case with the Seve Trophy. This is a much more casual affair and involves a high proportion of the Tour's leading players and one of the stars of the event was Stenson who was undefeated in his five matches. But it was merely an extension of the form that has seen him finish in the top-15 in five of his last six events, with the only blemish being the PGA Championship (47th). With a 6th place finish in this event two years ago and a 34th place finish in the Open Championship this summer at St. Andrews, he could go one better than his last event and win this week.

Paul McGinley to win 33/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler and Ladbrokes
McGinley played last week and only lost once, but that was a single hole loss to Remesy & Levet in the opening day fourballs and he really had very little help from his partner, Padraig Harrington. As with Stenson, it was merely an extension of his previous form as he had finished 3rd in the NEC Invitational and 6th in the BMW International Open in his last two strokeplay events and had finished 2nd in the HSBC World Match Play Championship two weeks ago. His course form may not look too impressive, but he did hold the lead heading into the final round (and after the 2nd round) in the inaugural event in 2001. He is playing well enough to be in that position again this week.

Brian Davis to win 50/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, Paddy Power and Boyle Sports
Davis had held the first round lead in that inaugural event and though he fell back to finish 13th, it would be his lowest finish in this event. In the last three years, he has finished 7th, 6th and 12th which makes 50/1 appear rather generous. And given that his PGA Tour form this season has been good enough to secure his Tour Card for another season and that the last time he returned to compete on this Tour, he finished 2nd, he does represent decent value this week.