BMW International Open

FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts

Cabrera 11th
Langer 47th
Dredge 9th

No return, but had two in contention for a bumper payout for most of the tournament. Cabrera had been 1st after round one, 3rd after round two and would have been in that position after round three, but for an extraordinary two-shot penalty. His caddie walked through a bunker when pacing out the yardage to the green, but having raked it before Cabrera played his shot, he was deemed to have improved Cabrera's line to the flag. Totally absurd! An even bigger caddie gaffe than Appleby's a few weeks ago.

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Angel Cabrera to win 20/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Despite the make-up of last year's top-10 in this event, I'd rather not side with players who competed in both the PGA Championship and the NEC Invitational. Cabrera would have been in this category, but he did not compete due to a stomach problem. He was advised to rest by his doctors and that should be an advantage this week. In his last six European Tour starts, he has a win and four top-5 finishes and on this course last year, he finished 4th. Victor Chandler appear to have over-reacted to his illness.

Bernhard Langer to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetFred [6 places]
Playing almost exclusively on the PGA Tour since the start of last season, Langer has played on this Tour only twice this year: at last month's Open Championship and Deutsche Bank event in Germany. On both occasions he finished in the top-5. It may be almost two years since his last European Tour title, but in this form and on a course on which he has finished in the top-25 every time in the last 15 years, he should certainly go close again, particularly if fatigue is a factor for this year's Trans-Atlantic travellers.

Bradley Dredge to finish in the top-five 14/1 @ GolfingGods
A price that is out of line and will not last. Dredge has been spared the tiring trip to the U.S.A. and boasts form that is as good as anyone else's in the field: in his last three starts, he has finished in the top-5 every time. His course record is poor, but apart from one year (2002) when had approached this event in very poor form. That is certainly not the case this year and a much better performance is expected.