Outright Picks - European Tour
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Telecom Italia Open
FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts Khan
6th
Orr 10th
Maritz mc Rather a frustrating finish! Khan had been in the top-5 all
week and was 2nd-favourite heading into the final round, but really
struggled on the greens. Nevertheless, a decent profit on the event
looked assured when he was in 4th place when on the final hole ... but
two balls into the water and 3-putt later, he had slipped out of the
top-5 and no return on the event was secured! Even had two players in
the top-10, but just as much profit as if they had all missed the cut.
Given that finish by Khan, I wish they had! Further
outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5 pts) Gary Orr to finish
in the top-five 16.5/1 @
Centrebet
and
SuperOdds
With players returning from the U.S. and from Asia, there is plenty of
potential for a surprising-looking leaderboard this week, at least until
this Tour settles down into its main European schedule. The players who
have not been playing around the globe and focussing on this event
should be at an advantage and one such player is Gary Orr. He lost his
Tour Card last year and cannot get into the bigger events on Tour so has
concentrated fully on preparing for the events that he can enter and it
has reaped immediate rewards: in his two starts in 2005, he has finished
8th and 2nd. Having made the cut last year on this course, he should
certainly performance much better this time around with renewed
confidence. Martin Maritz to finish in the top-five 20/1 @
GolfingGods
It has been a low start to the year for Maritz, but that still makes
these odds about twice as high as they should be. He had a similar start
to the season last year and still finished 9th on this course and was in
the top-5 with one round to play. He had a similarly slow start to 2003
and finished 5th in this event. There are few who doubt his talent to be
a significant player on this Tour, so well-rested and in an event in
which he has played particularly well each year, he really should be at
lower odds than this. Outright play
(total stake per play: 1.5pts) Simon Khan to win 50/1 e.w. @
BetInternet,
Bet365
and
GolfingGods
Big price for a player who has avoided the two-week trip to China,
finished in the top-10 in his last start and was a Tour winner last
year. On that occasion he had to hold off Paul Casey to earn victory in
the Celtic Manor Resort Wales Open and against anyone but Sergio Garcia
in front of his home crowd, he could have won the Mallorca Classic in
October as well. Sharing the lead with the young Spaniard and playing in
the final group, it was a very tall order for him to win. But this field
lacks any such intimidating and home players and he can certainly draw
heart from his previous attempts at this title: he finished 5th in 2003
at Gardagolf and 13th last year on this course when in otherwise poor
form. |