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Outright Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Outright

BMW Championship 

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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -3.00pts

Scott mc
Immelman 6th
Hanson wd

One good final round saw Immelman finally show his potential, but he lost any hope by playing the par-5 17th and 18th holes so poorly in the first three rounds. He was over-par for those six par-5s, whereas the winner, David Howell, was five-under-par. He only needed to shoot one better score to finish in the place money.

 

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Adam Scott to win 20/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, Stan James, Victor Chandler, Ladbrokes and BetDirect
It's hectic part of the year for Europe's leading players. They concentrate on the PGA Tour until the Masters, play in the three-week leg of major European Tour events in May to earn Ryder Cup points and then fly back across the Atlantic to prepare for the U.S. Open. It is easy to avoid these players this week as well as Ernie Els who may find that being the consultant to the changes to the West Course will harm his chances this week. His mind will certainly be away from his game as he seeks approval for his course refinements. So, ignoring Goosen who has a poor record in this event in the last five years, this represents a very good opportunity for those players who come into this event fresh, in form and without the pressure of the Ryder Cup. That applies to Scott, Immelman and Michael Campbell, though he is overlooked because of his involvement in the weather-disrupted Irish Open. Scott comes into the event with 3rd place finishes in each of his last two events and in the Byron Nelson Championship, he had held the lead after each of the first three rounds so there is no concern over his form and there shouldn't be over his ability to win as he won three times last year. Top-20 finishes in each of his last two visits to Wentworth show that he can play this course well and so there is certainly value at 20/1.

Trevor Immelman to win 25/1 e.w. available generally
Immelman can claim even better form than Scott as he has finished 2nd in each of his last two events, one via a playoff loss and then one after leading when heading into the final round. He may yet gain his breakthrough victory on the PGA Tour, but he has already done so on this Tour and so warrants the shorter odds on this side of the Atlantic. It should also be remembered that he only lost out via a playoff to Ignacio Garrido in 2003, so he is certainly due a win and this looks a good opportunity.

Peter Hanson to finish in the top-ten 9/1 @ Stan James and Paddy Power
With finishes of 20th and 5th in his two previous visits to Wentworth, Hanson clearly likes the setup of the West Course and course experience is important in this event. To add to that, he comes into the event in very good form, which is not revealed by his finishing positions in the last month. He finished 10th in the China Open; was in the top-10 for most of the week in the Open de Espana before finishing 11th; and was in the top-10 for even longer in his last event, the British Masters, where he had held the first round lead, but a final round 80 saw him plummet from 7th to 54th. With his previous history on this course, there should be a good chance that he would hold onto any top-10 position acquired in this event.