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Spread Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Andy

Odds: Spreads

BMW Championship

 Spread Betting News (Sporting Index)

Summary: Bets, 7, Wins 4, Losses 3. Profit 3.58 Pts.

Tournament Trades

This week we oppose 3 of the main fancies for the event who have a combined average course FP of 36 in 16 visits but an average buy price of under 27. Obviously current form has to be studied as well but even allowing for some good flashes of form from all 3, the fact they have such a poor record round this course has not been factored into the quotes as much as it should have.

Buy Retief Goosen FP at 22 with IG Sport for 0.4 Pts M/U 21.5, Loss 0.2 Pts
Course form since 2000 sees Goosen play Wentworth 6 times with 3 Top 15 s and 3 missed cuts. His average FP in that time is 31.

Buy Jose Maria Olazabal FP at 29.2 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.4 Pts. M/U 16, Loss 5.28 Pts
Course form for Olly sees an average of 39 from an 11th, 22nd and 4 finishes outwith the Top 40.

Buy Paul Casey FP at 29 with Spreadex for 0.4 Pts M/U 12, Loss 6.8 Pts
Only 4 events played in this time span for Casey but only one notable finish of 9th and three poor weeks resulting in a 38 average FP.
Round One Trades

Sell Michael Campbell over David Howell at 1 with IG Sport for 0.2 Pts M/U -22, Profit 4.6 Pts
Sell Angel Cabrera over David Howell at 1 with IG Sport for 0.2 Pts M/U 0, Profit 0.2 Pts
Howell would not be 1-4 outsider against Cabrera and Campbell if it were not for the injury that has hampered him over the last few weeks. To back him is to show faith in him but he did finish 14th 2 weeks ago in his only appearance since the US Masters. Head to heads since early 05' show a 5-2 lead for Howell over Cabrera and 5-3 over Campbell on this tour so if we accept he is fully fit we have value getting a 1pt start over both matches.

Buy Raphael Jacquelin over Johan Edfors at 0.6 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.2 Pts M/U 34, Profit 6.35 Pts
Buy Anthony Wall over Johan Edfors at 0.2 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.2 Pts M/U 25, Profit 4.71 Pts
Note: to buy Jacquelin and Wall on Spreadfair you need to sell Edfors at a negative price.
Edfors is in good form with two wins this year but in the 4 weeks between the two he failed to get a Top 40 place. With limited appearances on tour it is hard to determine the value in the prices by using head to head records but certainly I would price his opponents as a clear favourites, at possibly 0-3.