Outright Picks - European Tour |
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BMW International Open
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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -3.00pts
Casey 13th
Fasth 42nd
Day mc
Disappointing effort from Casey who started the weekend as the 3rd-favourite,
but was 3-over-par for the first 15 holes to end his hopes of even a place
return.
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Paul Casey to win 14/1 e.w. @
William Hill,
GolfingGods
and
Boyle Sports
Had been looking to avoid players who had competed in the both the PGA
Championship and the Bridgestone Invitational, but Casey's record after
competing in those two events is very impressive. He did so in 2003 and finished
3rd, again in 2004 and finished 3rd again, while last year he missed the cut
when in a slump. That has not been the case this year as shown by his 3rd place
ranking on the Order of Merit and he did play very well last week and should
have finished higher than the 4th place that he did. On this course that is set
up for big-hitters, he really should finish in the top-3 once again.
Niclas Fasth to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
Fasth has already won this year (Open de Espana) and even though his form dipped
thereafter, he did finish in the top-15 in his last two European Tour starts.
But it was a similar story last year as he was far from consistent, but still
won Two Tour events. In fact, one of the few areas in which he is consistent is
when he is playing in Germany. Since the start of the 2003 season, he has
finished outside the top-12 in Germany only once, winning once and being placed
in four of seven events. He should fancy his chances on this course.
Jason Day to win 150/1 e.w. @
Coral
A big price for the 18-year-old phenom from Australia. The 2004 Junior World
Champion turned professional only this summer and has already earned two top-15
finishes in his last three PGA Tour starts. He has never played this course, but
with his drives averaging 330 yards in last week's Reno-Tahoe Open (and he still
hit 86% of fairways), he should prosper on this course and 150/1 is a very
generous price. |