Outright Picks - European Tour |
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Ryder Cup
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FINAL RESULT: 2-1; 5.29pts
Europe 1st (18.5-9.5)
DiMarco 8th
Garcia 1st
Very impressive performance by the European team to win all five sessions and
led for the first two days by Garcia. He finally met his match in Stewart Cink
on Sunday and that meant a tie with Westwood for leading European points scorer,
but still a very profitable event.
Outright plays (total stake: 1pt unless stated)
Europe to win the Ryder Cup -1.5pts 5/4 @
Bet365,
Paddy Power,
BlueSq
and
BetFred
[3pts]
There really isn't enough space to outline why Europe should be the favourites
in this match! From such a strong home advantage that everyone in the European
team bar Luke Donald has played in the European Open on this course (and with
multiple wins across this team) to an American qualification system that almost
let John Rollins into the team for winning a very minor event for players who
failed to qualify for the Open Championship, there really is very little apart
from the world rankings to suggest that the Americans have the better team.
But the world rankings mean nothing in this event. In 2004, the Europeans had
an average world ranking (38.25) that was more than double the American average,
but won a landslide. In the nine Ryder Cups since the World Rankings began in
1986, the European average is over twice that of the American’s, but they have
won five times, drawn once and only lost three times. To make an even bigger
mockery of the player’s World Rankings, in the five highest European averages
(1987, 1995, 1999, 2002, 2004), the Europeans have won four times; three of
which have been on American soil, and they really should have won in 1999 at
Brookline as well.
And that 1999 defeat at Brookline really bucked the trend. It is the only
time since 1993 that Europe has failed to win this event. That victory was on
account of poor captaincy by Mark James. The American team beat the European
8.5-3.5 in the final day singles to secure a victory by a single point. Should
we expect the American team to dominate the singles because they have the better
world rankings? The answer is an emphatic no. Take out the 1999 result and over
the last ten Ryder Cups, the American team leads the European team merely by
54.5-53.5 points. A difference in captaincy skills was the decisive factor in
1999 and that is the only concern with this play this time around. Tom Lehman
has looked the far better captain in the run-up to this event; the blundering
Woosnam could yet blunt the Europeans' edge in this match.
Chris DiMarco to finish top American points scorer 9/1 @
William Hill
Let's compare DiMarco with some of his team-mates ... Before the 1999 Ryder Cup,
Tiger Woods insisted it was nothing more than "an exhibition", sentiments which
were echoed by Phil Mickelson and David Duval. Then, after winning the American
Express Championship the week before the 2002 Ryder Cup, when asked whether that
event or the Ryder Cup was more important to him, Woods responded "I can give
you a million reasons", grinning and referring to the $1 million winner's prize.
And he is at it again this time. On the Friday of the Open Championship, when
asked if it was good to see DiMarco doing well from a Ryder Cup perspective, he
replied "We couldn’t care less about the Ryder Cup." No wonder he’s only won 7
of his 20 Ryder Cup matches!
But to say “we” was a huge mistake. Only a few minutes earlier, DiMarco had been
asked whether a first major title or the Ryder Cup meant more to him and he had
replied “playing for your country is probably the greatest thing I’ve ever done
in golf. So I’d have to say playing for your country.” No wonder that he has won
seven, halved two and lost just one of his last 10 Presidents Cup and Ryder Cup
matches. The only downside is that he played in the 84 Lumber Classic last week
and that may lead Lehman to only play him four times, but otherwise he should
certainly be the best American player this week.
Sergio Garcia to finish top European points scorer 6.08/1 @
Pinnacle
In terms of the leading European points winner, Garcia is the European
equivalent of the fist-pumping DiMarco. He has played in three Ryder Cups and
played in all five matches every time with just one defeat in twelve foursomes
and fourball matches. In fact, in foursomes, he is a perfect 6-0-0. He has a
fourball partnership with Lee Westwood and a foursomes partnership with Luke
Donald and the benefits of consistent partners cannot be understated. Donald is
a better player than he was two years ago and Westwood is a two-time winner on
this course, so I can't see any sense in Woosnam splitting up these two
partnerships. It will be a big surprise if Sergio doesn't win more than three
points this week.
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