FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -0.38pts

Singh mc
Els 3rd
Ogilvy 16th

Looked good for two days when Els was back to his best, but then his iron play deserted him during the third round and his putter was very cold in the final round. It still looked as though Tiger had an extra gear even if Els had held his game together over the weekend.

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Vijay Singh to win 16/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Paddy Power, BlueSq, BetFred and Boyle Sports [all 1/4 1-2-3-4-5-6]
In an interview after the Memorial Tournament, Vijay said that his game was "almost there" and that it had been getting better for some time. His highest finish in his last four events had been 36th, but he won the following week, finished 6th in the U.S. Open, which is his 2nd-best-ever finish in that event and then finished 4th in the Western Open when his previous best in that event had been 10th. That is quite a strong indication of form and having finished 2nd and 5th in two of the last three years in this event, he could be set for another personal best in this event as well.

Ernie Els to win 17/1 e.w. @ GolfingGods [1/4 1-2-3-4-5-6]
One common feature about these selections is that they hit the ball a long off the tee. It is not that length itself will be important this week as the course is playing very hard and fast and there will be very little wind, rather the bunkering is rather out of date for current technology. Luke Donald is one player who has already voiced his concerns about the number of fairway bunkers that are situated within his driving range. To carry them will give the bigger hitters an advantage of 100 yards or so and that cannot be ignored. And in terms of Els, there are few who hit the ball as well off the tee and particularly on link courses. It is very difficult to ignore someone who has four top-3 finishes in the last four years, including one win, provided they are fit and playing well. And on both counts Els passes the test. He is now finally showing no adverse effects from his knee injury and was quite vocal in his frustration at his putting last week. The rest of his game had been excellent and, in his owns words, he should have shot 62 on Saturday. He skipped the European Open two weeks ago to spend time at Hoylake and prepare properly and so long as his putter is not too cold, he really should be in the mix again this week. His public frustration last week is much preferable to his backers than the resignation that was so often evident in the previous six months.
(BetInternet, Paddy Power, BlueSq and Boyle Sports off 16/1 and 6 places]

Geoff Ogilvy to win 50/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power [1/4 1-2-3-4-5-6]
"It's my favourite tournament of the year, without a doubt ... We only play courses like that once a year. It's nice to see the ball rolling on the floor when it lands. You never really forget how to play like that." So when a player who is 2nd on the PGA Tour Money List says that and is 50/1, you should take notice. Ogilvy learned the game on hard, fast courses and this will be one of those. He has the shots to win on this course and this year, he has the belief as well, winning not only the World Matchplay Championship, but the U.S. Open. He returned to Australia after that victory to relax and prepare for this event. Again in his own words, "I won't expect to win, but I feel like I can win." That's good enough for me!