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Summary: 2 Bets, 1 Win, 1 Loss. Profit 19.95 Pts Bet 1 - Buy Markus Brier FP at 24 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.6 Pts M/U 69, Profit 25.65 Pts Two wins in three years for Brier in his home Open but 24 even in a poor field is definitely value. The fact that he was 12th last week is probably the reason for a quote so low but Brier's long term average on this tour is nearly double the quote. Bet 2 - Sell David Frost over Emanuele Canonica 18H MB at 0 with Sporting Index for 0.3 Pts M/U 19, Loss 5.7 Pts Frost plays rarely now and it was a surprise to see him feature so prominently in last weeks event in Wales where he finished 8th. He is paired with Canonica and their scores have been fairly similar in events that they have played on this tour in recent years. They are 2-2 in matches over 1 year and 6-6 over 3 years but I feel Frost getting older and Canonica's 8th last year means that Sporting have the wrong favourite in this match. |
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