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0-3; -3.00pts
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Robert Karlsson to win 40/1 e.w. @
SkyBet,
Ladbrokes
and
Sportingbet
12th
Niclas Fasth and Lee Westwood came close to being selections, but it is hard to
back short-priced players at this stage of the season and particularly without a
visit to this course between them in the last four years. This is a quirky
course at altitude and so good recent performances around it should be more
important this week than usual. In Karlson's case, to add to his 17th place
finish last time here (2005), he had finished 2nd, 7th, 1st and 4th in four of
his previous six visits. With some inklings of form in his last two performances
in Europe (5th with one round to play in the Deutsche Bank Players Championship
of Europe and 22nd after the opening round of the Scandinavian Masters), he
should be well-placed in the Ryder Cup qualification standings after this event.
Michael Campbell to win 40/1 e.w. @
Boyle Sports
and
Sunderlands [6 places] mc
In Campbell's case, there is no added incentive of Ryder Cup points on offer
this week, but he does share some good form around this track: he was the
runner-up in 2003 and finished in the top-10 in each of his previous two visits.
And, after threatening to play well in July - he opened with a 68 in his last
three events in Europe that month - he did so for much longer when he returned
to Europe to play in the KLM Open two weeks ago and finished 12th. Once again,
he was at his best in the 1st round (3rd, 10th and 3rd after his last three 1st
round scores in Europe), but he should remain competitive for the whole event
once more around this course.
Francesco Molinari to win 40/1 e.w. @
Sunderlands [6 places] 62nd
Another player who has some patchy current form, but very strong course form
with finishes of 17th and 2nd in his two previous appearances here. He is
clearly comfortable playing at altitude and enjoys the benefits of being close
to home: he was born, raised and still lives in Turin, which is less than 100
miles from this course. He has shown that he can win in this company - he won
the Italian Open last year - and he recovered from an opening 76 to finish in
the top-10 last week. He should do the same this week.
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