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0-3; -3.00pts Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Soren Hansen to win 25/1 e.w. @
Sunderlands [6 places] 34th
Doesn't have a great record in this part of Europe, but there is no sign of his
form letting up. Since July, his finishes in Europe read: 2nd, 7th, 19th, 2nd,
3rd, mc, 1st, and 8th! He played well against Sabbatini in the first round last
week and even though he lost to Mahan in the 2nd round, it should mean that he
is not too tired coming into this event. I had been debating whether there was
any in this price, but when Sunderlands' late offering included six places in a
126-man field, that enough value for me.
Miguel Angel Jimenez to win 30/1 e.w.
@
Stan James
73rd
Missed the 33/1 (BetFred) that had been available earlier, but there's still
enough value at this price especially he does have a very good record in
South-Western Europe. He has won four times in Southern Spain and in his last
appearance in Portugal (2004) he won the Algarve Open de Portugal with ease. He
also has course experience, which is rare in this field, as he partnered Sergio
Garcia in the 2005 World Cup at this venue. He has also looked impressive in his
last two events, not just for finishing 4th and 15th, but ranking 3rd and 4th in
greens in regulation in those weeks, which is as good as he has been all year.
I'm confident he will be in contention over the weekend.
Alejandro Canizares to win 66/1 e.w. @
Victor
Chandler mc
Backing Canizares as another local player who plays well in this region. Like
Jimenez, he lives in Malaga, which is only 200 miles from this course and this
year alone, his first full year on Tour, he has finishes of 11th, 18th and 2nd
in Spain/Portugal. He finished 2nd last week in the Open de Madrid and looked
for some time as though he would earn his second Tour title. I'd considered him
last week and passed; I won't do this week when I'd expected odds of certainly
no more than 50/1. |
