FINAL RESULT: 2-1; +13.50pts

Goosen 1st
Fasth mc
O'Hern 2nd

Jeez! What a finish! O'Hern had a two-shot lead over Goosen with two holes to play and lost, but there was nothing here to suggest that he shouldn't be backed again each-way even though he has still to win on this Tour. He hit his approach shot to the 17th hole to 18-feet, but Goosen was inside six-feet and holed to gain a shot, while on the last hole, O'Hern found an awful lie with ruled out the possibility of a birdie four, but Goosen hit the green in two and holed from 30-feet for the win. Quite unbelievable reversal that cost a profit of 12pts, but O'Hern wasn't a bottler this time!

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Retief Goosen to win 16/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Goosen hasn't played in this event since the 1990s when he finished 5th and 20th in the last two years of that decade, but his limited course experience will be of some use given the windy conditions that usually prevail here. And he is a much better player now. He may have struggled with his swing for a large part of 2006, but he has still finished in the top-5 in four of his last five starts and was in contention throughout last week. I was expecting 12/1, so I'll certainly back him at these odds.

Niclas Fasth to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
Fasth is due a win in this event. Two years ago, he entered the final round in 2nd place and playing in the final group, but was derailed by double-bogeys on his 2nd and 3rd holes, while last year he also started the final round in 2nd place, but opened with a six on his card. He played solid enough last week to finish 29th and won the Mallorca Classic only three months ago in wire-to-wire fashion, so barring any early final round hiccups, he could earn that overdue victory at Doha this time around.

Nick O'Hern to win 40/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and Coral
O'Hern is no stranger to final round hiccups, but he still did enough to win the Australian PGA Championship last month and claim the Australian Order of Merit title, so maybe he will now go on to convert more of his many chances to win. It certainly looked as though he might do that last week when he started the third round in 3rd place and was under-par until a bizarre incident at the 9th hole. After finding a greenside bunker, he went to remove what he thought was a stone, as allowed under European Tour rules, but it crumbled as he touched it, turning out to be a small piece of hard sand. It meant that he incurred a two-shot penalty, recorded a triple-bogey on the hole and never recovered. He deserved better and should make amends by getting himself back into contention for another win this week.