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0-2; -3.00pts Outright plays:
Niclas Fasth to win 20/1
e.w. @
Victor
Chandler and
BetFred
[2pts] 22nd
A double-play on Fasth who responded very encouraging with a 66 on Sunday. That
response was to a 3rd-round 79 which saw him give up 15 shots on the winner,
Gregory Bourdy, on Saturday, but still only finish 12 shots back at the end of
the tournament. And having finished 11th, 4th and 10th in his previous three
events, it was clear that he was in very good form and deserving of
2nd-favouritism to Garcia. He trails Garcia again this week in the market and
also Harrington, Rose, Poulter and Donald, but there is little to fear from this
group and their wins:starts ratio. Fasth beat a strong field to win the BMW
International Open in July and won two events in Spain last year on this Tour.
With a course record that reads 7th and 5th in the last two years and with a
determination that is unusually strong (relative to other Tour pros) at this
time of the year, he really should be a very strong candidate this week for the
title.
Peter Hanson to win 40/1 e.w. @
Ladbrokes
[1pt] 14th
Hanson has also won in Spain with victory in the 2005 Open de Espana and, in
terms of Valderrama, held the lead during the final round in 2004, eventually
finishing 4th, just outside the playoff between Ian Poulter and Sergio Garcia.
It was still his highest finish on the European Tour at the time and as a player
who always ranks highly in the greens in regulation stats (currently 6th on
Tour; the same as last year), Valderrama is a course that suits. He has shown
good form recently with finishes of 10th and 3rd in his last two events, so odds
of 40/1 had not been expected. |
