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4-5; -3.50pts
Round 1 plays (2pts):
Richard Sterne to beat Rory McIlroy -120 @ Bet365 LOST by 1
Gary Orr to beat Alvaro Quiros Garcia -105 @ Five Dimes WON by 6
Alexander Noren to beat Johan Edfors -105 @ Five Dimes LOST by 4
Round 2 plays (2pts):
Christian Cevaer to beat Zane Scotland -120 @ Five Dimes WON by 3
Robert Karlsson to beat Miguel Angel Jimenez -125 @ Five Dimes LOST by 2
Peter Hedblom to beat Graeme Storm -105 @ Five Dimes TIED
Round 3 play (2pt):
Alexander Noren to beat Johan Edfors -105 @ Five Dimes WON by 2 Noren has shot a lower 3rd round score than Edfors in five of their last six common events. With Edfors having missed the cut in all three previous attempts and only making the cut by a single shot this week, I can't see him turning around his fortunes around this course tomorrow
Round 4 play (2pts):
Gregory Bourdy to beat Marcus Fraser -105 @ Five Dimes WON by 1 Bourdy has shot a higher final round score than Fraser just once since the start of 2007, so I'll back the winner of last month's Estoril Open de Portugal to prevail on a Sunday again
Adding round 4 plays (2pts):
Martin Kaymer to beat Paul Casey -120 @ Bet365 LOST by 1 For such a good player, it is surprising that Casey ranks last in 4th round scoring in Europe over the last 12 months. Today's wet weather tends not help his game, unlike his German opponent
Paul McGinley to beat Oliver Wilson -105 @ Pinnacle LOST by 4 Expecting McGinley to bounce back today. You have to go back to July last year for the last time that Wilson beat him in the 4th round and the last time that Wilson was 2nd with one round to play (2008 China Open), he shot 79 in the final round