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5-6; -2.76pts
Round 1 plays (2pts):
James Kingston to beat Daniel Vancsik -118 @ Five Dimes LOST by 1 Opposing Vancsik who has never made a cut in Ireland - probably due to his poor record in windy conditions - and lost by eight shots to Kingston last year after just 36 holes
Martin Kaymer to beat Darren Clarke -110 @ Bet365 LOST by 5 Paul McGinley to beat Darren Clarke +105 @ Unibet LOST by 1 Clarke may have been a very popular winner of the Asian Open three weeks ago, but it also means that he is significantly underpriced for his home Open this week and so should be worth opposing. Before his victory in China (when Kaymer was 7th), Clarke had finished behind Kaymer in seven consecutive events and in their last 10 common events, Clarke had finished ahead of McGinley only twice. There may be a lot of sentiment in the betting for Clarke, but the value should lie in opposing him
Round 2 play (2pts):
Johan Edfors to beat Rory McIlroy -110 @ Five Dimes LOST by 1 Edfors finished the first day two shots better than McIlroy and that has been the norm this season: in their seven common events this year, McIlroy has finished the tournament ahead of Edfors only once and shot the better 2nd round score only once
Round 3 plays (2pts):
Thomas Aiken to beat Pablo Larrazabal -120 @ Five Dimes TIED
Paul McGinley to beat Richard Green -105 @ Five Dimes WON by 2
David Frost to beat Alvaro Quiros Garcia +110 @ Stan James and BetDirect WON by 2
Paul Broadhurst to beat Gregory Havret -110 @ Five Dimes LOST by 3
Round 4 plays (2pts):
Alvaro Quiros Garcia to beat Gary Murphy +105 @ The Greek LOST by 2
Felipe Aguilar to beat Anthony Wall -110 @ Five Dimes WON by 2
Felipe Aguilar to beat David Frost -125 @ Bet365 WON by 5
John Bickerton to beat Ross McGowan -130 @ Five Dimes WON by 7