Alfred Dunhill Links Championship

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7-3; +3.05pts 

Round 1 plays (1pt):

Nick Dougherty to beat Benn Barham -145 @ The Greek [available generally]  LOST by 3
I'd be very surprised if this was close. In terms of ability, Dougherty has finished ahead of Barham in 18 of their last 20 common events; in terms of course form, Dougherty is a former winner of this event (2007), while Barham has missed the cut by 16, 5 and 17 shots in his his three previous appearances in this event.

Ricardo Gonzalez to beat Pablo Martin -111 @ Unibet [also available @ Extrabet and Ladbrokes]  WON by 4
Martin is another with a poor record in this event: he has missed the cut in both his previous appearances, averaging 75.67 over his six rounds. Gonzalez has a top-10 finish in this event (2005) and has six cuts made from eight attempts, plus he is a much faster starter in events: over the last 12 months, their 1st round h2h record reads 16-4 (and 2 tied).

Markus Brier to beat Marcel Siem -135 @ The Greek [available generally]  WON by 1
Opposing another player with a poor record in this event: Siem has missed the cut in each of the last four years here. In fact, he has a terrible record in Scotland in general, missing 11 of 13 cuts since 2005. That is not the case with Brier who was a top-20 finisher last year and in 2007 at the Open Championship at Carmoustie. He has shown much better form over the summer and should shoot the lower score tomorrow.

Round 2 plays (1pt):

Lee Westwood to beat Darren Clarke -143 @ SkyBet [available generally]  WON by 1

Ernie Els to beat James Kingston -150 [tie loses] [available generally]  WON by 2

Padraig Harrington to beat Rory McIlroy -120 @ Paddy Power [also available @ FiveDimes, Stan James and SkyBet]  LOST by 5

Round 3 plays (1pt):

Thongchai Jaidee to beat Graeme Storm -130 @ FiveDimes  LOST by 1

Richard Green to beat Brett Rumford -125 @ SkyBet [available generally]  WON by 1

Damien McGrane to beat Gareth Maybin -110 @ FiveDimes, SkyBet and Paddy Power [available generally]  WON by 3

Round 4 plays (1pt):

Paul Broadhurst to beat Sam Little -135 @ FiveDimes  WON by 4

Lee Westwood to beat Rory McIlroy +110 @ FiveDimes [also available @ SkyBet]  TIED