Open de France

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3-1; +5.90pts  (system plays: 6-5-1) 

Round 1 play (2pts):

Graeme Storm to beat  Nicolas Colsaerts -105 @ FiveDimes  WON by 4
Opposing the home player in this matchup. Colsaerts may have won the China Open in April, but conditions that week bear little resemble to those of this week, he has missed his last two cuts and he has managed just one top-50 finish on this course in six attempts. Now look at Storm's record on this course: he won here in 2007 and in the last five years, he has finished 21st, 1st, 21st, 13th and 11th. In much better form than Colsaerts, he should be the clear favourite in this matchup.

[unofficial rd1 system play: Wood tb Colsaerts -105 (L)]

Round 2 play (4pts):

Richie Ramsay to beat Thorbjorn Olesen +100 @ Bet365  WON by 3
Today's 66 has lifted Olesen to 3rd place on the leaderboard, but this is only the 3rd time that he has finished the 1st round in the top-15 on the European Tour. He shot a 2nd round 74 to drop from 3rd to 20th in the 2010 Open Cala Millor Mallorca, and he shot a 2nd round 71 to drop from 3rd to 18th in the 2011 Italian Open. Ramsay has a 10-5 h2h record against Olesen and, despite being three shots behind the Dane after 18 holes, I'd expect him to once again finish ahead of him by the end of the tournament.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Whiteford tb Storm +100 (W); Rumford tb Maybin +105 (L)]

Round 3 play (2pts):

Jamie Donaldson to beat Peter Whiteford -105 @ FiveDimes  WON by 6
A poor end to Whiteford's round - a bogey in his penultimate hole and a seven at the last - saw him tumble out of the top-5 at the end of the day, so it will be difficult for him to bounce back from that. Donaldson, on the other hand, has finished in the top-15 in each of his last four starts and should be confident of building upon his current 24th place position.

Round 4 play (2pts):

Johan Edfors to beat George Coetzee -105 @ FiveDimes  LOST by 4  (thanks to a snowman on the last hole!!)
A fatigue play. Coetzee has played in each of the last eight weeks on the European Tour and, in particular, his last five finishes have been 2nd, mc, 11th, 12th and 3rd, so he has not just played played eight weeks in a row, but has been in serious contention in four of the last five weeks. He has also entered next week's Scottish Open and has qualified for the Open Championship so that will be eleven weeks in a row! It is no wonder that he followed his opening 66 (to lie 3rd) with rounds of 75 and 76. There cannot be very much motivation for him to play hard tomorrow and nor will there be the energy required given this schedule.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Whiteford tb Canizares -110 (W); Khan tb Colsaerts +150 (W); Noren tb Rock -110 (L); Derksen tb Lara -110 (T); Steele tb Havret -110 (W); Wall tb Dredge +120 (W); Cejka tb Montgomerie -110 (L); Jaidee tb Otto -105 (L); Storm tb Rock +110 (W)]