Nordea Masters

Subscribe

2-1; +6.98pts  (system plays: 8-6-0) 

Round 1 play (4pts):

Richard Finch to beat Thorbjorn Olesen +130 @ Unibet  WON by 5
Surprised to see the odds on Finch so high. Olesen does have two 2nd place finishes on Tour this season, but has missed the cut in 11 of his other 15 starts this year. Maybe the odds are due to Olesen 4th place finish in this event two years ago, but that was on a different course and he did not play here last year. Finch is much consistent and this is reflected in his h2h stats against Olesen - he leads him 11-4-0 over 72 holes and 10-4-1 over the 1st round.

[unofficial rd1 system plays: Wall tb Morrison -105 (W); Watson tb Stenson -110 (W)]

Round 2 play (4pts):

Bradley Dredge to beat James Morrison -105 @ Bet365  WON by 6
Backing the dominant player in this matchup. Over the past 12 months, they have played in 25 common events and Dredge leads Morrison 20-5 h2h over that period. With Morrison languishing in 87th place after the opening round and set to play in the more difficult afternoon conditions tomorrow, its is odds-on that he will miss the cut this week. He is 11-for-11 in missing the cut when starting the 2nd round outside the top-75 since May last year.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Stenson tb Noren +105 (L); Canizares tb Vancsik -105 (W); Havret tb Jamieson +108 (L)]

No round 3 plays.

Round 4 play (2pts):

Anthony Wall to beat Damien McGrane -111 @ Bet365  LOST by 1
With a lukewarm putter Wall would have been at least second in this event. He ranks inside top-20 this week in driving distance, driving accuracy, greens in regulation and scrambling - from tee-to-green he has been as good as anyone bar Noren so he has only had two bogeys all week so far. He must putt better tomorrow. Even without putting well, he is already ahead of McGrane, just as he has finished in 9 of 13 common events this year.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Dubuisson tb Del Moral -105 (W); Wall tb Noh +100 (L); Andersson Hed tb Jamieson -110 (L); Wall tb Andersson Hed -120 (W); Finch tb Jamieson +110 (W); Wilson tb Elson -110 (W); Parry tb Vancsik -111 (W); Kaleka tb Norret +105 (L); Derksen tb Jonzon -110 (L)]