Open de Andalucia

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1-2; -2.10pts  (system plays: 0-1-1) 

Round 1 play (2pts):

Joost Luiten to beat Robert Rock -105 @ 5Dimes  LOST by 3
Backing Luiten for two reasons: (i) tiredness and jet lag could be a factor for Rock who flew back from Florida this week, whereas Luiten has been resting since the last European Tour events; (ii) Luiten has a great record in Spain: he missed the cut in the Andalucia Masters in October, but had made the cut in his previous ten starts in this country, of which eight had been top-20 finishes ... in this event has finished in the top-20 in all three previous starts, includuing 2008 when this course was last used.

No round 2 plays.

Round 3 play (2pts):

Edoardo Molinari to beat Matteo Manassero +100 @ Stan James  LOST by 3
In similar fashion to Padraig Harrington on the PGA Tour today, Manassero struggled in the second round having held a three-shot lead after the first 18 holes. He only hit four fairways all day and had fallen outside the top-10 for much of his round. It's difficult to see him bouncing back in the next round, whereas Molinari shot a bogey-free 65 today. Hopefully fully-fit again, he can once climb back into the top-15 of the World Rankings with more rounds like today.

Round 4 play (2pts):

David Lynn to beat Hennie Otto -125 @ Stan James  WON by 1
Opposing Otto who, the last time that he started the final round in the top-10, shot 76 and finished 18th. He was in this position in Europe twice last year and both times he failed to break 70 in the final round, so I do not see him improving on his current 4th place position. Lynn's last missed cut was seven months ago and on the two previous occasions that this course has been used, he finished in the top-10 both times, so it should far more predictable that he is currently 4th and more likely to remain so.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Jimenez tb Otto -110 (L); Fleetwood tb Pavan -125 (T)]