Open de Espana

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1-1; +0.00pts  (system plays: 0-2-0) 

No round 1 plays.

Round 2 play (2pts):

Gary Orr to beat Matthew Baldwin -110 @ 5Dimes  WON by 1
Orr has a very good record in Spain - he looks set to make his 18th cuts in his last 20 starts in this country after he finished the day in 6th place. But this was very un-Spanish weather and he has previously shown that he is very good in conditions more akin to his home country. Today was no exception: he had just one bogey all day long; only Jorge Campillo went the whole day without dropping a shot. That ability in poor weather will be needed again tomorrow, so I'll back him against the rookie Baldwin.

No round 3 plays.

Round 4 play (2pts):

Simon Dyson to beat Soren Kjeldsen +110 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Stan James]  LOST by 5
An unusual play to back the leader heading into the final round, and particularly when he double-bogeyed the last hole. However, the initial fault was a flyer from 180 yards rather than a poor shot and I do like his confidence about his game: "I should be out of sight the way I am playing". He won the Irish Open last year when holding the lead at the start of Sunday and he does have a good record in this event in particular: two top-5 finishes in his last four attempts. Kjeldsen is in prime position, being one shot back, but he has been much less impressive from tee-to-green this week and it has been three years since he started the final round in the top-3. At these odds, I will take the value in backing Dyson.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Dyson tb Larrazabal +120 (L); Micheel tb Baldwin -120 (L)]