18-Hole Match Picks - European Tour |
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1-0; +2.40pts (system plays: 1-2-0) Round 1 play (4pts): Anders Hansen to beat Rafa Cabrera-Bello -105 @ Bet365 TIED With a 8-2-2 h2h record in 2012 in Hansen's favour and a big difference in their histories at Gleneagles - Hansen is 4-for-4 in cuts made here; Cabrera-Bello is 0-for-3 - Hansen should be the player most likely to win this first round matchup. [unofficial rd1 system play: Gallacher tb Cabrera-Bello -110 (L)] Round 2 play (2pts): Alexander Noren to beat Thorbjorn Olesen +120 @ BetVictor [also available @ Stan James] WON by 3 Very good price to back a player who has finished 10th, 15th, 3rd and 9th in his last four starts in Europe. Olesen has also shown form recently and does lie 3rd after the 1st round, but this is only the second time that he started the 2nd round in the top-10 since January, so I'm backing the more consistent player at this price. No round 3 plays. Round 4 play (2pts): Thomas Bjorn to beat Rafa Cabrera-Bello -116 @ Bet365 [also available @ 5Dimes and Paddy Power] TIED Bjorn is a very good player when in contention: since the start of the 2008 season, Bjorn has started the final round in the top-10 on 17 occasions; he has finished the event in the top-10 in 15 of those 17 occasions. In the last five months, he is 5-for-5 and that includes two wins, both times when starting the final round three off the lead. The last time Cabrera-Bello started the final round in the top-10 (the Scottish Open), he shot 78 in the final round and finished 47th. With all the pressure on him as he tries to shoot the best round of his career to try and get himself in the Ryder Cup team, such a score could easily be repeated under this pressure. [unofficial rd4 system plays: Bjorn tb Olesen +100 (W); Bjorn tb Lawrie Pa -110 (L)]
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