18-Hole Match Picks - European Tour |
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1-1; -1.00pts (system plays: 2-2-0) Round 1 play (4pts): Alexander Noren to beat Branden Grace +100 @ Paddy Power WON by 6 Opposing Grace who, despite being a three-time winner on the European Tour this season, does not appear to be a particularly good links player. He missed the cut in Northern Ireland two weeks ago, has played in the Dunhill Links Championship just once (and missed the cut by 14 shots) and the only cut that he has made in his last four visits to Scotland was in a Challenge Tour event in 2010. Noren's missed cut in this event last year can ignored given the weather disruption, so comparable courses can be found in the Dunhill Links Championship in which he has made the cut in four of the last five years, and over the same timeframe he has made the cut in eight of 11 starts in Scotland. He has shown very good form in his last two European Tour starts and I expect to deal better with this week's predicted weather forecast. [unofficial rd1 system plays: Singh tb Wiesberger -105 (W); Cabrera tb McGinley +105 (W); Ramsay tb Olesen -111 (L)] No round 2 plays. No round 3 plays. Round 4 play (4pts): Peter Lawrie to beat Marc Warren -125 @ 5Dimes LOST by 3 Opposing Warren in the final round. He was caught in Kjeldsen's slipstream today as they both went round in the lows-of-the-day 64, but even though he will partner Kjeldsen again tomorrow, the pressure will really be on the Scot as he started the final round in 3rd place and as the leading Scot in an event in there has been only one home player. If that was not enough pressure, then there is also the knowledge that he has not fared well in this position previously. In the last five times that he has started the final round in the top-10, he has shot 76-74-84-72-78 to finish 21st-20th-56th-11th-29th. [unofficial rd4 system play: Kjeldsen tb Warren -125 (L)]
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