KLM Open

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4-1; +4.90pts  (system plays: 1-0-0) 

Round 1 play (2pts):

David Howell to beat Richard Green -105 @ Bet365  WON by 3
Howell is a much better player to back in rd1 than in other rounds as is typified by his h2h record against Green: over the last 12 months, he holds a 9-9 h2h record with Green over 72 holes, but that record is 12-4-2 in rd1. Since the start of last season, he leads Green 21-7-4 in rd1, so there is strong reason to back in rd1 a player who was 2nd after rd1 on this course last year.

No round 2 plays.

Round 3 plays (2pts):

Mikko Ilonen to beat Pablo Larrazabal -111 @ Bet365  WON by 5

Eddie Pepperell to beat Gary Stal -155 @ Pinnacle [aso available @ 5Dimes]  LOST by 1

Darren Clarke to beat Damien McGrane -130 @ 5Dimes  WON by 3

[unofficial rd3 system play: Wattel tb Molinari -106 (W)]

Round 4 play (2pts):

Emiliano Grillo to beat Peter Uihlein +100 @ Bet365  WON by 4
Opposing Uihlein as the favourite in this matchup. He does start the final round in 4th place, but it is only the third time that he has started the final round on Tour inside the top-5. On both previous occasions, he finished the final round lower down the leaderboard so he may struggle this time around as well. Against a player who has finished ahead of him in six of their last seven common events, he shouldn't be the favourite in this matchup.