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Tommy Fleetwood - 2 points each-way @ 14-1 (Skybet) Kristoffer Broberg - 0.25 points each-way @ 150-1 (Skybet) Kristoffer Broberg - 1 point Top-10 @ 9-2 (Betfair SB) With the likes of Andy Sullivan and Nicolas Colsaerts showing the horrors that can befall a top-class player, the Shenzhen International may yet have a shock or two to come but I'm not that convinced. When used for the China Open in 2014 the leaderboard stayed pretty static throughout the weekend and it has that look again. Big hitters have an obvious advantage but it was the scrambling that came to fore in the second round with many players struggling to get up-and-down from just off the green. Knowledge of the putting surfaces clearly helps and it isn't that difficult to see the likes of China winner Alex Levy, placed Quiros and Fleetwood all being on the front page come Sunday afternoon. The front few have an obvious chance given their length and current play - Uihlein has been particularly impressive whilst 'Alphie' has tons of experience in Asia - but they are liable to throw in a nasty score and only Tommy Fleetwood appeals at the prices of the top lot, looking the least likely to make horrendous errors and clearly enjoying being back at the venue at which he was runner-up to Levy. Back then he chased the whole way, hitting bogey-free second, third and front-nine final rounds before succumbing to the chase late on and he looks in rude form this week finding 31 greens from long and accurate drives. Clearly the game will revolve around the flat stick and whilst that has been his nemesis throughout the last year, he improved here last season and does well enough on these greens to think that 14-1 is a few points 'overs'. Have to holds hands up and say the small wager on Kristoffer Broberg is one of 'in case'. These wide fairways disguise the somewhat inaccurate driving but his approach play is holding up well from 19/28 fairways and if he could just hole a few, his game would improve dramatically. Admittedly the only real form he has in a while is that 10th in Joburg but he is open about the work he needs to do to improve and at some point this will click; a top-3 in the Irish Open and Scottish Open will vouch for his potential and this really isn't the most difficult of mid-fields in which to make a move. Current third and fast-improver Grillo had similar problems a year or so back and whilst the Swede's back-nine holes will need a fair bit of improvement, at 150-1 and the odds for a top-10 I'll take the chance.
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