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Betfair Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

British Open
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16-1; +0.95pts 

Pre-tournament plays:

BACK 1pt

Henrik Stenson 36  11th
The top of the market shows just how open this event is this week and I think the Swede has a chance of repeating Harrington's of winning back-to-back Opens when the event was last played at Royal Birkdale in 2008. On that occasion, Stenson finished 3rd - his fourth top-3 finish in his last eight Opens, including last year's win - so he can certainly play well on links courses and across such a range of different links courses over that period. His form has been inconsistent - and that is the reason for these inflated odds - but he has finished 3rd in the BMW PGA Championship and 10th in the BMW International Open over the last couple of months and he played particularly well on Sunday when 6-under-par through 14 holes, so I would certainly price him at lower odds than this.

 

LAY 20pts liability


Alex Noren 60  6th
Justin Thomas 80  mc
Ian Poulter 100  14th
Matthew Fitzpatrick 140  44th
Chris Wood 160  14th
Martin Kaymer 160  37th
Thorbjorn Olesen 200  62nd
Ryan Fox 200  mc
Tyrell Hatton 210  mc
Bryson Dechambeau 230  mc
Callum Shinkwin 270  mc
Si-Woo Kim 300  mc
Bubba Watson 310  27th
Gary Woodland 320  70th
Ernie Els 350  61st
Hideto Tanihara 380  mc
Noren's five Tour wins in the last year sees him jutifiably inside the top-10 in the World Rankings, but he has a very poor record in the Majors with just two top-20 finishes in 16 attempts and a best finish of 9th
Distance off the tee is never a major factor in this event and that doesn't suit Thomas who finished 53rd in his event debut last year; he was leading the U.S. Open after 54 holes last month, but he has missed the cut in his two events since that 3rd round 63 and failed to break par in any of those rounds
The rest are players that are triple-digit odds whose odds are still too low in my book