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Betfair Picks - European Tour |
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4-3; +20.20pts No pre-tournament plays. No pre-rd3 plays. Pre-rd4 plays: BACK to win 20pts Matt Wallace 4.4 4th
Wallace was a wire-to-wire winner of the Open de Portugal in May and looks well-placed to be a wire-to-winner here as well - he leads by two shots with one round to play. That victory in Portugal shows that he has the ability to convert this lead and he has had a couple of top-10 finishes recently, so these odds are high enough to tempt a play.
Tyrell Hatton 4.8 1st
With finishes of 3rd, 8th and 1st in his last three starts, Hatton is clearly the form player in this field and he is in 2nd place, two shots behind Wallace. If anyone is going to mount a challenge to Wallace, it is going to be Hatton so the winner looks most likely to come from the final pairing.
Tommy Fleetwood 14.5 6th
Fleetwood is two shots further back in 6th place and while Hatton may have the best form, Fleetwood is the better player over the course of this season, ranking #1 in the Race to Dubai. Given the season that he has had, to be only four shots off the pace at the start of the final round means that he is still very much in contention and I would price him a little lower than this.
Ross Fisher 44 2nd
Fisher is only one shot further back and is another player in good form, finishing 2nd last week in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. Given this form and ranking 6th in the Race to Dubai, I would certainly price him lower to be a real contender tomorrow LAY 20pts liability Francesco Molinari 5.0 6th
Molinari did win this event last year and he has had a good season on the PGA Tour, reaching the BMW Championship in the Playoffs, but I feel that there is always a lot more pressure put on a home player in contention in the final round and that tends not to lead to low scores when the pressure/expectation is so intense. He may be 2nd alongside Hatton, but I would price him at much higher odds to win
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 13.5 2nd
Aphibarnart is a shot further back in 4th place and has been in good form recently with four top-20 finishes in his last five starts, but the best finish was 9th so while he is contending again, I don't see him winning a strokeplay event in Europe.
George Coetzee 15 6th
Coetzee is contending again as he has been in very good form over the last month. but he has also shown significant brittleness in his game when faced with a chance of winning in the last month. That is enough for me to price him higher than these odds.
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