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Betfair Picks - European Tour |
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38-0; +9.25pts Pre-tournament plays; LAY 20pts liability Alex Noren 21 mc
Martin Laird 80 mc
Stewart Cink 120 mc
Jaokim Lagergren 180 mc
Ha-Tong Li 180 50th
George Coetzee 210 wd
Matteo Manassero 250 mc
David Drysdale 270 mc
Dylan Fritelli 270 mc
Renato Paratore 280 61st
Rikard Karlberg 290 mc
Oliver Fisher 290 mc
Daniel Im 290 mc
Marc Warren 300 mc
Gregory Bourdy 310 mc
Julien Quesne 310 mc
Brandon Stone 320 mc
Adrian Otaegui 340 19th
Callum Shinkwin 340 2nd
Paul Waring 380 51st
Dean Burmester 390 mc
Jeunghun Wang 390 mc
Lee Slattery 390 9th
Lucas Bjerregaard 400 61st
Romain Langasque 420 mc
Krisoffer Broberg 430 35th
These odds look a little short on Noren who was available at these odds pre-tournament two weeks ago in the Open de France - that week, the players heading the market were Jon Rahm, Francesco Molinari and Bernd Wiesberger, whereas this week it is Fowler, McIlroy and Stenson, so that shows that increase in the quality of the field this week. He is the defending champion, but that was at Castle Stuart over 200 miles away in the Scottish Highlands and a very different course.
Laird showed a return to form last time out in the Quicken Loans National, but it is quite a few years since he was consistently at the level of golf when he was being considered for the Ryder Cup and while he may be technically a home player, he is much more at home on American courses
The rest are players who are available at triple-digit odds, but I would still price higher Pre-rd3 plays Adam Scott 24 35th
Andrew Dodt 24 4th
Branden Grace 100 15th
Ross Fisher 330 35th
To be as short as 24, I'd want Scott to be closer than five shots off the pace and in 15th place; he is without a top-5 finish this year so his current position means that his first Scottish Open appearance since 2009 is good preparation for next week, but he doesn't look like a winner at this stage
Dodt is available at the same odds and only one shot off the lead in 4th place, but he is also without a top-5 finish this year so I would price him a little higher to convert from this position
The rest are players who are available at triple-digit odds, but I would still price higher Pre-rd4 plays: Rickie Fowler 13 9th
Paul Dunne 20 26th
Graeme McDowell 40 19th
Johan Carlsson 55 15th
Richard Bland 85 19th
Anthony Wall 90 4th
Bernd Ritthammer 170 15th
Soren Kjeldsen 240 9th
Fowler has shot a higher score and fallen further down the leaderboard with each round, so momentum is clearly not in his favour as he bids to overcome a four-shot lead to the three joint leaders tomorrow
Dunne is a shot closer but not playing particularly well this week - he ranks 47th in drivingn distance, 59th in driving accuracy and 58th in greens in regulation
McDowell is alongside Fowler and four shots back, but certainly warrants much larger odds as he is yet to secure a top-10 finish in 2017
Of the 18 players within five shots of the lead, only Shinkwin (joint leader) ranks lower in the World Rankings than Carlsson and Sunday is the day when such lowly-ranked players tend to struggle the most
With just one top-50 finish in the last three months (nine events), Bland is another who should suffer from contention rust tomorrow
The same is also true for Wall who hasn't had a top-15 finish in a strokeplay event since January 2016
The rest are players who are available at triple-digit odds, but I would still price higher
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