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Betfair Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

Shenzhen International
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7-1; +21.37pts 

Pre-tournament plays:

Bernd Wiesberger 20  1st
Fabrizio Zanotti 70  5th
Wiesberger returns to the European Tour after a run of events in North America and will be looking to add his 3rd top-5 finishes in five European Tour events this year. He may not have played this course previously, but he is playing at a level that would competitive in any European Tour event so is worth backing at these odds, particularly as an 1st round afternoon tee-time looked to be an advantage with the weathre forecast
Zanotti played here last year and finished 16th, he also won his last European Tour event, the Malaysian Open where Wiesberger was 3rd, and he then finished 12th in the WGC-Mexico Championship. He is also playing well enough to at least record his fourth top-10 finish in China

 

LAY 20pts liability

Alexander Levy 32  8th
Jason Scrivener 220  45th
Ashun Wu 220  mc
Maximilian Kieffer 410  45th
Levy won the China Open here in 2014 and finished 4th here last year, but he still shouldn't be as short as 32. He finished 34th last week in his first outing for two months and will need to play much better if he is to be as competitive as these odds suggest
Scrivener missed the cut in his only previous appearance and was 8-over-par when he failed to return on the Ssturday morning to complete his 2nd round in his last outing in the Indian Open, so long odds are warranted
Wu is another player out of form having missed his last two cuts, while a 50th place finish in his only previous visit to Genzon also suggests that he is very unlikely to feature this week
Kieffer is another who has missed his last two cuts and without a top-25 finish in China, including three attempts on this course, he is another who warrants long odds

 

Pre-rd4 plays:

LAY 20pts liability

George Coetzee 18  11th
Jordan Smith 65  14th
I would price Coetzee a coup;e of points higher given that he is four shots behind Wiesberger and not having played any Tour golf in over five weeks
While Coetzee is 3rd and four shots off the pace, Smith is two further shots back and outside the top-10, so he does have the recent form to suggest that he should be a contender this week, I would still price him at considertably higher odds given this leaderboard position.