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Betfair Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

Trophee Hassan II
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8-0; +4.51pts

 

Travelling until the weekend so no time for write-ups

No pre-tournament plays.

 

Pre-rd3 play:

LAY 10pts liability

Alvaro Quiros 7.0  (7.8)  2nd

 

Pre-rd4 plays:

LAY 10pts liability

Jeunghun Wang 12  (13.5)  13th

Joost Luiten 17.5  (18.5)  9th

Austin Connelly 26  (32)  13th

Alexander Bjork 27  (34)  3rd

Andy Sullivan 36  (55)  7th

Yusaku Miyazato 65 (95)  13th

Brandon Stone 95  (190)  22nd

 



TIPS AND STAKES

Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange market, there are two things to note:

  1. Tips will normally be provided the evening before the market goes in-play;

  2. Tips will focus only on those players near the top of the market.

    There is plenty of value in backing players at very large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in providing tips for these odds.

Betfair tips for the European Tour will only be provided in-running - there will be none before the tournament starts.



Odds of 2.0 or higher

All BACK plays will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.

So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is 10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are staked to win 1.25pts.

Odds of less than 2.0

All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY plays will be to win 10pts

 

The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.