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Betfair Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

Nedbank Golf Challenge
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9-3; -4.47pts
 
The tipping notation is: BACK/LAY, followed by the price, followed in paratheses by the max/min price at which to BACK/LAY, respectively, followed by the BACK 'to win' and LAY 'liability' points at the stated prices, which is the number of ticks between the available price and the max/min price, up to a maximum of 10pts.

For the in-running tips ... any tip posted before rd3 or rd4 is in addition to those already posted in the event at 'BACK to win' or LAY liabilities that cumulatively sum a maximum of 10pts. For example, if a pre-tournament tip is LAY at 5pts liability and is followed by a pre-rd3 tip at LAY at 9pts liability, the pre-rd3 bet should be laid at 5pts (i.e. a maximum liability of 10pts) if the pre-tournament tip was laid and laid at 9pts if no previously liability had been taken on that player.
 

Rory McIlroy  21st
Pre-tournament
LAY 9.4 (15.0) [10pts]
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Sergio Garcia  2nd
Pre-tournament
LAY 11.5 (25) [10pts]
Pre-rd4
BACK 1.84 (1.73) [10pts] 
 
Louis Oosthuizen  3rd
Pre-tournament
BACK 15.5 (12.5) [6pts]
Pre-rd4
LAY 4.6 (6.6) [10pts] 
 
Branden Grace  11th
Pre-tournament
LAY 21 (24) [3pts]
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Hao-Tong Li  5th
Pre-tournament
LAY 24 (27) [3pts]
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Lucas Bjerregaard  11th
Pre-tournament
LAY 24 (50) [10pts]
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Danny Willett  50th
Pre-tournament
LAY 28 (60) [10pts]
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Martin Kaymer  21st
Pre-tournament
LAY 32 (48) [8pts]
Pre-rd4
No play 
 
Shane Lowry  35th
Pre-tournament
BACK 32 (20) [10pts]
Pre-rd4
LAY 950 (1000) [5pts] 
 
Matthew Fitzpatrick  27th
Pre-tournament
No play
Pre-rd4
No play
 


TIPS AND STAKES

Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange market, there are two things to note:

  1. Tips will normally be provided the evening before the market goes in-play;

  2. Tips will focus only on those players near the top of the market.

    There is plenty of value in backing players at very large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in providing tips for these odds.

Betfair tips for the European Tour will only be provided in-running - there will be none before the tournament starts.



Odds of 2.0 or higher

All BACK plays will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.

So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is 10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are staked to win 1.25pts.

Odds of less than 2.0

All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY plays will be to win 10pts

 

The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.