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Betfair Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

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1-0; +10.00pts

 

No pre-tournament plays.

 

No pre-rd3 plays. 

 

Pre-rd4 play:

BACK to win 10pts

Eddie Pepperell 3.15  (2.6)  1st
Pepperell and Fisher are two ahead of Sean Crocker in 3rd place and four ahead of the rest of the field, so this is a very good opportunity for one of the leaders to win tomorrow. Fisher has won from this position, but that was six years ago (2011 Czech Open) and while, Pepperell has yet to win on this Tour, his play has been far better this week. He also finished 4th here three years ago, so he is the player that I am siding with tomorrow to lift this title.

 



TIPS AND STAKES

Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange market, there are two things to note:

  1. Tips will normally be provided the evening before the market goes in-play;

  2. Tips will focus only on those players near the top of the market.

    There is plenty of value in backing players at very large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in providing tips for these odds.

Betfair tips for the European Tour will only be provided in-running - there will be none before the tournament starts.



Odds of 2.0 or higher

All BACK plays will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.

So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is 10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are staked to win 1.25pts.

Odds of less than 2.0

All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY plays will be to win 10pts

 

The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.