Outright plays (5pts staked)

Thaworn Wiratchant 1pt ew @ 40-1 (Skybet)

The quirky swinger might not have the best record in his few starts in Japan but he's never been in the form he currently is: 1-7-mc-5-7-2. That the missed cut came in Japan dampens the enthusiasm a bit but not many 40-1 shots have that sort of form. 

Shingo Katayama 1.5pt ew @ 14-1 (Bet365, Skybet)

Not sure Cabrera deserves such overwhelming favouritism and with Katayama's habit of hitting the places, nevermind winning, I'll take 14-1.

Final result -5pts