Asahi Ryokuken International Championship
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Grace Park to win 16/1 e.w. @
Bet365
I knew the 25/1 on her last week wouldn't be available any more, but was
surprised to get as high as 16/1 with 5 places (and 20/1 @ Centrebet with 4
places) with such a weak field. Can't pass it up. Last year's 33rd place finish
was between two top-5 finishes, so there is not the argument of past weeks of
ignoring course form, but she has finished in the top-5 in her last three
tournaments and has finished in the top-10 in six of her eight starts this year.
In this form, she can compete on virtually any course.
Mi Hyun Kim to win 22/1 e.w. @ Surrey
She may be tinkering with her swing, but she is still putting in some very
consistent performances. Rather too many bogeys - may be a product of the swing
changes - but she continues to be in contention at some stage every time she
plays. She does have a top-20 finish from last year and this is not a course
that needs length off the tee, so she should be again in contention at the
weekend.
Cristie Kerr to win 33/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
[5 places option]
Kerr didn't play last year, but is another at the top of her game. She had had
two top-3 finishes in four starts before she won her maiden title at the Longs
Drugs Challenge and she now looks to be regaining that level again after the
difficulties of coming to terms with that win ... and possibly that photograph
as well! Just too good a player to be this price against any field.
Final update: 0-3; -4.50 units
Park 6th
Kim 10th
Kerr 20th
Just like the Seniors event this week ... hard to see how I can finish this
event without a winner. Park had been in the top-5 all week until during her
last round and Kim, in particular, had threatened to gain a place finish. Should
take heart that the full top-5 in this event were all considered as they were in
the top-10 of my ratings, but having looked at and passed over the 80/1 winner,
it is very small comfort!
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