Aerus Electrolux USA Championship
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Juli Inkster to win 14/1 e.w. @ TattsBet
Short price and would normally not look to a defending champion, but Inkster is
in great form at the moment. Since she started her season at the Takefuji
Classic, she has finished 6th, 2nd, 19th, 8th and 1st. Plus she finished 2nd in
this event in 2000 before winning last year. She beat both Sorenstam and Pak
last week, so can't see any reason why she can't again this week.
Grace Park to win 25/1 e.w. @ Centrebet
or TattsBet
As outlined last week, I'm discounting her course form at this stage of the
season as she was in a slump twelve and twenty-four months ago. She almost fell
out of the top-4 last week, but a birdie at the last ensured she was a
profitable selection and maintained her extremely impressive run of form on
courses on which she had previously struggled.
Mi Hyun Kim to win 25/1 e.w. @ Surrey
First-time visit to the Legends for Kim, but is another in great form at the
moment. Followed a disappointing opening round with 66 to secure another top-10
finish in the rain-shortened Chick-Fil-A Championship and looks set to continue
the same form this week.
Matchup plays (1.5 units):
Juli Inkster to beat Laura Diaz -125 @ TattsBet
With finishes of 49th and 57th on this course and without the excuse of poor
current form, Diaz could struggle to maintain her recent good form on this
course. See above for reasons to expect another impressive performance from
Inkster. Five Dimes have Inkster -170 for this matchup which seems more
realistic, though it does mean there is a decent scalp as well.
Cristie Kerr to beat Rachel Teske -110 @ Surrey
The event following her maiden win was always going to be difficult for Kerr,
but this should be another matter. She won the Longs Drugs Challenge after
missing the cut in the Office Depot and a rebound is expected this week,
particularly as she already has a top-10 finish on this course. That was the
same year that Teske missed the cut and with her top-10 finish last week being
the first in five events, Kerr looks the more likely to perform this week.
Mid-point update:
Inkster/Diaz Trails by 7
Kerr/Teske WON by 3
Inkster 57th
Park 10th
Kim 20th
Won one matchup with Diaz missing the cut for the second successive year,
though Inkster has some improvement to make over the weekend. Still hope for Kim
and Park as well.
Final update:
Matchups: 1-1; -0.38 units
Inkster/Diaz LOST by 3
Outrights: 1-2; +0.94 units
Inkster 27th
Park 3rd
Kim 16th
Park came through to make it a break-even event. Got within a shot of the
lead at one stage, but no win. Unlikely to be 25/1 again.
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