Williams Championship
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Meg Mallon to win 40/1 e.w. @
Bet365 or Five
Dimes (.75 units to win & .75 units to finish in
top-5)
Never really recovered from a poor opening round last week, but there was
nothing to suggest a loss of the form that had brought her victory in her
previous event, the Canadian Open. Didn't play last year, but she was 25/1 last
week and this is a big increase in price even with a rusty Annika in the field.
Expecting a faster start this week.
Grace Park to win 40/1 e.w. @ Five
Dimes
Last week was a welcome return to form for Park who had started the season in
great form: she finished in the top-10 in eight of her first twelve starts. She
had missed her two previous cuts at The Rail so there was little room for
optimism last week, so her finish was noteworthy. Now that she returns to a
course on which she has form - she finished 5th last year, breaking a run of
poor form - she should be able to at least match last week's performance.
Catriona Matthew to win 66/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Strange price. Matthew is generally available at half these odds and looks a
value play on those grounds alone. She didn't play last year, but looks to be in
good form with a 12th place finish last week after a slow start and top-5
finishes in the two weeks beforehand.
Matchup play (1.5 units):
Carin Koch to beat Emilee Klein -115 @ Five
Dimes
Klein may have played last year, which Koch did not, but 41st place was not
impressive, particularly as it was in the middle of a run of five top-5 finishes
in six events. Having beaten Klein in each of their last six joint events and
having studied at the University of Tulsa, this should be a win for the Swede.
Final update:
Matchups: 0-1-0; -1.73 units
Koch/Klein LOST by 4
Outrights: 1-2; +3.75 units
Mallon 5th
Park 14th
Matthew 7th
Profitable event, but could have been so much more. Mallon had the low round
of the day to secure a top-5 position, but Park had been there for much of the
week until midway through her final round and Matthew had been there all week,
but with a six at the 16th she finished one shot out of the top-5. Very close to
a great event.
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